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Champions League
Referee: B Bastien
Barcelona
S S T S S
4–1
Full-time
FC Copenhagen
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona FC Copenhagen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/13 matches
Win Ø 52%
57%
46%
Points per game
1,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
100%
46%
Both score Ø 66%
86%
46%
Average goals
4,4
3,1
Scored
2,6
1,7
Conceded
1,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3,18 xG 1,06
76% Possession 24%
28 Shots 6
13 Shots on target 1
11 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
10 Corners 1
1 Offside 6
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Barcelona FC Copenhagen
4′
⚽ V. Dadason 0–1
M. Elyounoussi
27′
🟨 Marcos López
Lamine Yamal 🟨
38′
39′
🟨 Junnosuke Suzuki
Half-time 0–1
M. Bernal 🔁
↦ E. Garcia
46′
1–1 R. Lewandowski ⚽
Lamine Yamal
48′
55′
🔁 V. Claesson
↦ V. Dadason
55′
🔁 M. Madsen
↦ W. Clem
2–1 Lamine Yamal ⚽
Fermin
60′
65′
🔁 Y. Moukoko
↦ J. Larsson
65′
🔁 Robert
↦ E. Achouri
3–1 Raphinha ⚽
69′
R. Araujo 🔁
↦ G. Martin
72′
M. Rashford 🔁
↦ D. Olmo
72′
78′
🔁 O. Hojer
↦ M. Elyounoussi
M. Casado 🔁
↦ Fermín
79′
F. Torres 🔁
↦ R. Lewandowski
81′
4–1 M. Rashford ⚽
85′
87′
🟨 Birger Meling
91′
ℹ️ Gabriel Pereira
VAR: Goal cancelled
94′
🟨 Gabriel Pereira
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-2-3-1
13 J. Garcia G
23 J. Kounde D
5 P. Cubarsi D
18 G. Martin D
3 A. Balde D
24 E. Garcia M
20 D. Olmo M
10 Lamine Yamal M
16 Fermín M
11 Raphinha M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (10)
25 W. Szczesny
31 D. Kochen
4 R. Araujo
7 F. Torres
14 M. Rashford
17 M. Casado
22 M. Bernal
26 J. Torrents
28 R. Bardghji
43 T. Marques

Coach: Hansi Flick

FC Copenhagen

5-4-1
1 D. Kotarski G
24 B. Meling D
5 Gabriel Pereira D
20 J. Suzuki D
6 P. Hatzidiakos D
15 M. Lopez D
30 E. Achouri M
10 M. Elyounoussi M
36 W. Clem M
11 J. Larsson M
39 V. Dadason F
Bench (11)
31 R. A. Runarsson
61 O. Buur
4 M. Garananga
7 V. Claesson
9 Y. Moukoko
16 Robert
21 M. Madsen
29 J. Moalem
38 O. Hojer
49 L. West
42 G. Ankamafio

Coach: Bo Svensson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.