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LaLiga2
Referee: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo
Almeria
S T S U S
1–2
Full-time
Oviedo
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 42/42 matches
Win Ø 48%
45%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
62%
43%
Both score Ø 60%
69%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
11 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Almeria 6. · Oviedo 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 42 22 13 7 +27 79
2 Elche 42 22 11 9 +25 77
3 Mirandes 42 22 9 11 +19 75
4 Oviedo 42 21 12 9 +14 75
5 Santander 42 20 11 11 +14 71
6 Almeria 42 19 12 11 +17 69
7 Granada 42 18 11 13 +11 65
8 Huesca 42 18 10 14 +9 64
9 Eibar 42 15 13 14 +3 58
10 Albacete 42 15 13 14 +0 58
11 Sp Gijon 42 14 14 14 +3 56
12 Cadiz 42 14 13 15 +2 55
13 Cordoba 42 14 13 15 -4 55
14 Burgos 42 15 10 17 -7 55
15 Castellon 42 14 11 17 +2 53
16 La Coruna 42 13 14 15 +2 53
17 Malaga 42 12 17 13 -4 53
18 Zaragoza 42 13 12 17 -7 51
19 Eldense 42 11 12 19 -19 45
20 Tenerife 42 8 12 22 -20 36
21 Ferrol 42 6 12 24 -42 30
22 Cartagena 42 6 5 31 -45 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almeria Oviedo
-5′
🟨 Santiago Colombatto
14′
Nacho Vidal 0–1
1–1 Sergio Arribas
16′
Álex Centelles 🟨
25′
Half-time 1–1
Dion Lopy 🟨
46′
52′
🟨 Alemão
Nicolás Melamed 🔁
↦ Léo Baptistão
60′
Lázaro 🔁
↦ Marko Milovanović
61′
67′
🔁 Paulino de la Fuente
↦ Haissem Hassan
67′
🔁 César de la Hoz
↦ Jaime Seoane
67′
🔁 Daniel Paraschiv
↦ Alemão
Arnau Puigmal 🔁
↦ Gonzalo Melero
74′
82′
🔁 Oier Luengo
↦ Santi Cazorla
Rachad Fettal 🔁
↦ Sergio Arribas
86′
Kaiky 🔁
↦ Alejandro Pozo
86′
88′
🔁 Carlos Pomares
↦ Santiago Colombatto
93′
Nacho Vidal 1–2
Daniel Paraschiv
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Almeria

4-2-3-1
13 Fernando Martínez G
17 Alejandro Pozo D
21 Chumi D
3 Edgar González D
20 Álex Centelles D
6 Dion Lopy M
23 Selvi Clúa M
11 Sergio Arribas M
8 Gonzalo Melero M
12 Léo Baptistão M
19 Marko Milovanović F
Bench (12)
10 Nicolás Melamed
7 Lázaro
2 Arnau Puigmal
4 Kaiky
28 Rachad Fettal
31 Bruno Iribarne
1 Luís Maximiano
16 Aleksandar Radovanović
38 Pedro Cedillo
24 Bruno Langa
27 Gui
36 Marko Perović

Coach: Rubi

Oviedo

4-2-3-1
13 Aarón Escandell G
5 Nacho Vidal D
4 David Costas D
12 Dani Calvo D
3 Abdel Rahim D
6 Kwasi Sibo M
11 Santiago Colombatto M
23 Haissem Hassan M
20 Jaime Seoane M
8 Santi Cazorla M
9 Alemão F
Bench (12)
17 César de la Hoz
18 Paulino de la Fuente
14 Daniel Paraschiv
15 Oier Luengo
21 Carlos Pomares
1 Quentin Braat
35 Omar Falah
24 Lucas Ahijado
30 Marco Esteban
7 Sebas Moyano
27 Álex Cardero
10 Francisco Portillo

Coach: V. Paunović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Damaso Arcediano Monescillo · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
31,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.