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Süper Lig

Referee: F Tokail

Gaziantep

T T T T U

2–2

Full-time

Kasimpasa

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gaziantep Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 34%

35%

32%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

56%

65%

Both score Ø 62%

56%

68%

Average goals

2,6

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,63 xG 2,02

36% Possession 64%

10 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 8

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gaziantep 13. · Kasimpasa 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	34	28	5	1	+56	+38.1	89
2	Fenerbahce	34	25	6	3	+52	+43.3	81
3	Samsunspor	34	18	6	10	+13	+6.6	60
4	Besiktas	34	16	11	7	+20	+24.8	59
5	Buyuksehyr	34	16	6	12	+7	+3.0	54
6	Eyüpspor	36	15	8	13	+5	-1.4	53
7	Trabzonspor	34	12	11	11	+11	-0.7	47
8	Goztep	34	12	11	11	+10	+21.6	47
9	Kasimpasa	34	11	13	10	+0	+1.8	46
10	Konyaspor	34	13	7	14	-3	-1.4	46
11	Kayserispor	34	11	11	12	-11	-2.3	44
12	Antalyaspor	35	12	8	15	-23	-17.7	44
13	Gaziantep	34	12	7	15	-5	-13.5	43
14	Rizespor	34	13	4	17	-10	+5.6	43
15	Alanyaspor	34	10	9	15	-10	-3.1	39
16	Bodrumspor	34	9	9	16	-13	-6.8	36
17	Sivasspor	35	9	8	18	-14	-19.4	35
18	Hatayspor	34	5	8	21	-26	-32.4	23
19	Ad. Demirspor	34	2	4	28	-59	-46.2	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	17	14	3	0	+29	+27.8	45
2	Fenerbahce	17	13	2	2	+23	+21.3	41
3	Goztep	17	10	6	1	+22	+22.7	36
4	Besiktas	17	11	2	4	+13	+17.1	35
5	Trabzonspor	17	10	4	3	+18	+6.4	34
6	Antalyaspor	17	10	4	3	+3	-2.1	34
7	Eyüpspor	18	10	3	5	+10	+4.3	33
8	Gaziantep	17	10	3	4	+10	+0.1	33
9	Samsunspor	17	10	2	5	+10	+10.5	32
10	Konyaspor	17	9	5	3	+8	+6.1	32
11	Buyuksehyr	17	9	4	4	+12	+6.0	31
12	Rizespor	17	8	4	5	+5	+13.3	28
13	Kayserispor	17	8	4	5	+2	+5.2	28
14	Sivasspor	18	7	6	5	+7	-3.9	27
15	Alanyaspor	17	7	5	5	+3	+5.1	26
16	Kasimpasa	17	5	7	5	-1	+5.3	22
17	Bodrumspor	17	5	5	7	+0	-0.6	20
18	Hatayspor	17	3	5	9	-9	-11.6	14
19	Ad. Demirspor	17	1	2	14	-28	-15.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	17	14	2	1	+27	+10.4	44
2	Fenerbahce	17	12	4	1	+29	+22.0	40
3	Samsunspor	17	8	4	5	+3	-3.9	28
4	Besiktas	17	5	9	3	+7	+7.7	24
5	Kasimpasa	17	6	6	5	+1	-3.5	24
6	Buyuksehyr	17	7	2	8	-5	-3.0	23
7	Eyüpspor	18	5	5	8	-5	-5.7	20
8	Kayserispor	17	3	7	7	-13	-7.6	16
9	Bodrumspor	17	4	4	9	-13	-6.2	16
10	Rizespor	17	5	0	12	-15	-7.7	15
11	Konyaspor	17	4	2	11	-11	-7.5	14
12	Trabzonspor	17	2	7	8	-7	-7.2	13
13	Alanyaspor	17	3	4	10	-13	-8.1	13
14	Goztep	17	2	5	10	-12	-1.1	11
15	Gaziantep	17	2	4	11	-15	-13.6	10
16	Antalyaspor	18	2	4	12	-26	-15.5	10
17	Hatayspor	17	2	3	12	-17	-20.8	9
18	Sivasspor	17	2	2	13	-21	-15.4	8
19	Ad. Demirspor	17	1	2	14	-31	-30.7	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.