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La Liga

Referee: Adrián Cordero

Osasuna

T U U S S

1–0

Full-time

Sevilla

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 28%

28%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

50%

38%

Both score Ø 61%

66%

56%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,35 xG 0,76

58% Possession 42%

9 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Osasuna 11. · Sevilla 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	33	24	4	5	+57	+43.2	76
2	Real Madrid	33	22	6	5	+35	+27.6	72
3	Ath Madrid	32	18	9	5	+26	+22.5	63
4	Ath Bilbao	33	16	12	5	+24	+16.2	60
5	Villarreal	32	14	10	8	+10	+16.8	52
6	Betis	32	14	9	9	+5	+9.8	51
7	Celta	33	13	7	13	+1	+12.1	46
8	Mallorca	33	12	8	13	-7	-2.1	44
9	Sociedad	33	12	6	15	-5	+0.7	42
10	Vallecano	32	10	11	11	-4	-3.0	41
11	Osasuna	32	9	14	9	-7	-8.3	41
12	Getafe	33	10	9	14	+1	-4.9	39
13	Espanol	32	10	9	13	-6	-21.2	39
14	Valencia	33	9	12	12	-12	-8.1	39
15	Sevilla	32	9	10	13	-8	-8.6	37
16	Alaves	33	8	10	15	-11	-4.0	34
17	Girona	32	9	7	16	-12	-4.6	34
18	Las Palmas	33	8	8	17	-15	-29.1	32
19	Leganes	32	6	11	15	-19	-24.8	29
20	Valladolid	32	4	4	24	-53	-30.2	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	13	1	3	+32	+33.1	40
2	Real Madrid	16	13	1	2	+22	+23.5	40
3	Ath Madrid	16	11	4	1	+17	+20.7	37
4	Ath Bilbao	17	10	6	1	+21	+13.9	36
5	Celta	17	10	3	4	+11	+9.0	33
6	Betis	16	8	5	3	+7	+15.0	29
7	Valencia	17	8	4	5	+4	+3.5	28
8	Osasuna	16	7	6	3	+5	+3.4	27
9	Espanol	16	7	6	3	+4	-5.9	27
10	Mallorca	17	6	6	5	-1	-0.4	24
11	Sociedad	16	7	2	7	+0	+4.4	23
12	Villarreal	15	5	7	3	+8	+10.2	22
13	Girona	16	6	3	7	+1	+5.8	21
14	Vallecano	16	5	6	5	-3	+4.5	21
15	Sevilla	16	5	5	6	-5	-0.8	20
16	Getafe	17	4	7	6	-1	+3.3	19
17	Alaves	16	5	4	7	-4	+0.3	19
18	Leganes	16	5	3	8	-8	-9.9	18
19	Las Palmas	16	4	5	7	-5	-7.0	17
20	Valladolid	16	3	4	9	-18	-8.9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	11	3	2	+25	+10.1	36
2	Real Madrid	17	9	5	3	+13	+4.0	32
3	Villarreal	17	9	3	5	+2	+6.6	30
4	Ath Madrid	16	7	5	4	+9	+1.9	26
5	Ath Bilbao	16	6	6	4	+3	+2.3	24
6	Betis	16	6	4	6	-2	-5.2	22
7	Getafe	16	6	2	8	+2	-8.2	20
8	Vallecano	16	5	5	6	-1	-7.6	20
9	Mallorca	16	6	2	8	-6	-1.7	20
10	Sociedad	17	5	4	8	-5	-3.7	19
11	Sevilla	16	4	5	7	-3	-7.8	17
12	Alaves	17	3	6	8	-7	-4.2	15
13	Las Palmas	17	4	3	10	-10	-22.1	15
14	Osasuna	16	2	8	6	-12	-11.6	14
15	Celta	16	3	4	9	-10	+3.0	13
16	Girona	16	3	4	9	-13	-10.5	13
17	Espanol	16	3	3	10	-10	-15.4	12
18	Leganes	16	1	8	7	-11	-14.8	11
19	Valencia	16	1	8	7	-16	-11.7	11
20	Valladolid	16	1	0	15	-35	-21.3	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.