La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Betis
Sociedad
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | +29 | +23.7 | 51 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | +23 | +18.4 | 50 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | +39 | +27.7 | 48 |
| 4 |
Ath Bilbao
|
24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | +16 | +14.5 | 45 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | +12 | +15.7 | 41 |
| 6 |
Vallecano
|
23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | +3 | +2.0 | 35 |
| 7 |
Mallorca
|
24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | -7 | -1.3 | 34 |
| 8 |
Osasuna
|
24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | -4 | -6.7 | 32 |
| 9 |
Sociedad
|
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | +0 | +3.7 | 31 |
| 10 |
Girona
|
24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | -3 | -0.2 | 31 |
| 11 |
Sevilla
|
24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | -5 | -3.9 | 31 |
| 12 |
Getafe
|
24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | +2 | -4.9 | 30 |
| 13 |
Celta
|
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -3 | +6.5 | 29 |
| 14 |
Betis
|
23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | -4 | +2.3 | 29 |
| 15 |
Espanol
|
24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | -13 | -18.6 | 24 |
| 16 |
Leganes
|
24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | -13 | -22.1 | 24 |
| 17 |
Las Palmas
|
24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -12 | -22.1 | 23 |
| 18 |
Valencia
|
24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -13 | -9.0 | 23 |
| 19 |
Alaves
|
24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -10 | -3.0 | 22 |
| 20 |
Valladolid
|
24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -37 | -22.6 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Gent
Betis
Celta
Betis
Betis
Ath Bilbao
Mallorca
Betis
Betis
Alaves
Gil Manzano · 26 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.