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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Valencia
U T U T U
4–2
Full-time
Betis
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 11/13 matches
Win Ø 24%
9%
38%
Points per game
0,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
45%
31%
Both score Ø 50%
45%
54%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,1
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,59 xG 0,97
49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
4 Offside 6
10 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 20. · Betis 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 13 11 0 2 +28 +14.9 33
2 Real Madrid 12 8 3 1 +14 +11.1 27
3 Ath Madrid 13 7 5 1 +12 +9.6 26
4 Villarreal 12 7 3 2 +4 +4.5 24
5 Osasuna 13 6 3 4 -3 -3.6 21
6 Ath Bilbao 13 5 5 3 +6 +5.7 20
7 Betis 13 5 5 3 +2 +4.2 20
8 Sociedad 13 5 3 5 +1 +3.3 18
9 Mallorca 13 5 3 5 +0 +3.2 18
10 Girona 13 5 3 5 -1 +3.1 18
11 Celta 13 5 2 6 -2 +2.8 17
12 Vallecano 12 4 4 4 +0 -0.3 16
13 Sevilla 13 4 3 6 -6 -2.8 15
14 Leganes 13 3 5 5 -3 -10.1 14
15 Getafe 14 2 7 5 -1 +1.7 13
16 Alaves 13 4 1 8 -8 -4.6 13
17 Las Palmas 13 3 3 7 -6 -12.1 12
18 Espanol 12 3 1 8 -11 -10.9 10
19 Valladolid 14 2 3 9 -17 -9.7 9
20 Valencia 11 1 4 6 -9 -9.8 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Betis
1–0 César Tárrega
Hugo Duro
8′
14′
Hugo Duro 2–0
own goal
Enzo Barrenechea 🟨
19′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 Hugo Duro
50′
4–0 Hugo Duro
Javi Guerra
53′
5–0 Diego López
56′
57′
🔁 G. Lo Celso
↦ Carlos Guirao
57′
🔁 E. Ávila
↦ Iker Losada
58′
🔁 C. Bakambu
↦ Aitor Ruibal
66′
E. Ávila 5–1
C. Bakambu
68′
🔁 Juanmi
↦ A. Ezzalzouli
Hugo Guillamón 🔁
↦ E. Barrenechea
74′
Germán Valera 🔁
↦ Diego López
74′
Dani Gómez 🔁
↦ Hugo Duro
74′
81′
🔁 Assane Diao
↦ Vitor Roque
André Almeida 🔁
↦ Javi Guerra
82′
André Almeida 🟨
86′
88′
🟨 Cédric Bakambu
José Luis Gayà 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Youssouf Sabaly
Fran Pérez 🔁
↦ Luis Rioja
91′
César Tárrega 🟨
95′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Valencia

5-4-1
25 G. Mamardashvili G
20 D. Foulquier D
15 César Tárrega D
3 Cristhian Mosquera D
24 Yarek Gąsiorowski D
14 José Gayà D
22 Luis Rioja M
5 E. Barrenechea M
8 Javi Guerra M
16 Diego López M
9 Hugo Duro F
Bench (12)
6 Hugo Guillamón
30 Germán Valera
17 Dani Gómez
10 André Almeida
23 Fran Pérez
38 Iker Córdoba
21 Jesús Vázquez
42 W. Madrigal
13 S. Dimitrievski
32 Martín Tejón
7 Sergi Canós
1 Jaume Doménech

Coach: Rubén Baraja

Betis

4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva G
23 Y. Sabaly D
5 Marc Bartra D
6 Natan D
15 R. Perraud D
16 Sergi Altimira M
34 Carlos Guirao M
24 Aitor Ruibal M
19 Iker Losada M
10 A. Ezzalzouli M
8 Vitor Roque F
Bench (10)
20 G. Lo Celso
9 E. Ávila
11 C. Bakambu
7 Juanmi
38 Assane Diao
46 Mateo Flores
13 Adrián
12 R. Rodríguez
25 Fran Vieites
3 Diego Llorente

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,97
U
3,06
B
2,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,48
U2,5
1,55
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.