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La Liga

Referee: Gil Manzano

Valencia

T S U T U

2–3

Full-time

Las Palmas

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Las Palmas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,7

2,8

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 6%

11%

Points per game

0,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 56%

33%

78%

Average goals

2,0

2,9

Scored

0,6

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,65 xG 1,14

47% Possession 53%

14 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

11 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 9

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 19. · Las Palmas 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	9	0	1	+23	+14.2	27
2	Real Madrid	10	7	3	0	+14	+9.1	24
3	Ath Madrid	10	5	5	0	+10	+9.4	20
4	Villarreal	10	5	3	2	+0	+2.1	18
5	Ath Bilbao	10	5	2	3	+6	+1.8	17
6	Mallorca	10	5	2	3	+2	+3.8	17
7	Betis	10	4	3	3	+1	+5.9	15
8	Osasuna	10	4	3	3	-2	-2.2	15
9	Vallecano	10	3	4	3	+1	-2.6	13
10	Celta	10	4	1	5	+0	+2.2	13
11	Sociedad	10	3	3	4	+0	+1.1	12
12	Girona	10	3	3	4	-2	+2.2	12
13	Sevilla	10	3	3	4	-5	-1.6	12
14	Alaves	10	3	1	6	-5	-3.3	10
15	Espanol	10	3	1	6	-7	-10.5	10
16	Getafe	10	1	6	3	-1	+1.5	9
17	Leganes	10	1	5	4	-6	-9.6	8
18	Valladolid	10	2	2	6	-13	-5.9	8
19	Valencia	9	1	3	5	-8	-8.6	6
20	Las Palmas	9	0	3	6	-8	-9.0	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	5	5	0	0	+11	+7.5	15
2	Osasuna	6	4	1	1	+4	+2.1	13
3	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+13	+8.4	12
4	Ath Madrid	5	3	2	0	+8	+10.3	11
5	Ath Bilbao	6	3	2	1	+5	+0.0	11
6	Celta	6	3	1	2	+3	+2.4	10
7	Betis	5	3	1	1	+3	+5.9	10
8	Espanol	5	3	0	2	+1	-1.6	9
9	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	+0	+1.9	9
10	Mallorca	5	2	2	1	+1	+1.2	8
11	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	-1	-0.5	8
12	Getafe	5	1	4	0	+2	+3.9	7
13	Girona	5	2	1	2	+1	+1.2	7
14	Alaves	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.0	7
15	Vallecano	4	1	2	1	+1	+1.8	5
16	Valencia	4	1	2	1	+1	-1.7	5
17	Valladolid	5	1	2	2	-1	-0.1	5
18	Sociedad	5	1	1	3	-1	+1.1	4
19	Leganes	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.6	4
20	Las Palmas	5	0	3	2	-2	-4.2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	5	0	1	+10	+5.8	15
2	Villarreal	5	3	1	1	+1	+2.6	10
3	Real Madrid	5	2	3	0	+3	+1.6	9
4	Ath Madrid	5	2	3	0	+2	-0.9	9
5	Mallorca	5	3	0	2	+1	+2.6	9
6	Sociedad	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.0	8
7	Vallecano	6	2	2	2	+0	-4.4	8
8	Ath Bilbao	4	2	0	2	+1	+1.8	6
9	Betis	5	1	2	2	-2	-0.0	5
10	Girona	5	1	2	2	-3	+1.0	5
11	Leganes	6	0	4	2	-4	-9.0	4
12	Celta	4	1	0	3	-3	-0.2	3
13	Alaves	5	1	0	4	-4	-0.3	3
14	Sevilla	5	0	3	2	-5	-3.4	3
15	Valladolid	5	1	0	4	-12	-5.8	3
16	Getafe	5	0	2	3	-3	-2.4	2
17	Osasuna	4	0	2	2	-6	-4.3	2
18	Espanol	5	0	1	4	-8	-8.9	1
19	Valencia	5	0	1	4	-9	-7.0	1
20	Las Palmas	4	0	0	4	-6	-4.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.