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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Getafe
U U U U S
1–0
Full-time
Cadiz
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
2,8
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 18%
18%
18%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
55%
36%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
45%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,19 xG 0,54
45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 5
18 Free kicks against 12
7 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 12. · Cadiz 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Girona 12 10 1 1 +14 +5.7 31
2 Real Madrid 12 9 2 1 +15 +11.1 29
3 Barcelona 12 8 3 1 +12 +14.0 27
4 Ath Madrid 11 8 1 2 +15 +9.5 25
5 Ath Bilbao 12 6 3 3 +7 +6.3 21
6 Betis 12 5 5 2 +1 -0.5 20
7 Sociedad 12 5 4 3 +5 -0.4 19
8 Valencia 12 5 3 4 +2 +1.7 18
9 Vallecano 12 4 6 2 -1 -1.9 18
10 Las Palmas 12 5 2 5 -1 -3.0 17
11 Osasuna 12 4 1 7 -6 -4.7 13
12 Getafe 11 2 6 3 -3 -4.8 12
13 Villarreal 12 3 3 6 -4 -3.9 12
14 Alaves 12 3 3 6 -6 +1.3 12
15 Sevilla 11 2 5 4 +1 -4.1 11
16 Cadiz 11 2 4 5 -6 -6.6 10
17 Mallorca 12 1 6 5 -6 -4.2 9
18 Celta 12 1 4 7 -9 -1.0 7
19 Granada 12 1 3 8 -12 -10.3 6
20 Almeria 12 0 3 9 -18 -4.1 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Cadiz
Carles Aleñá 🟨
-5′
Djené 🟨
13′
Omar Alderete 🟨
23′
43′
ℹ️ Javier Hernández
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Djené 🟨
44′
Djené 🟥
44′
Half-time 0–0
Luis Milla 🔁
↦ Jaime Mata
46′
46′
🔁 Álex Fernández
↦ Robert Navarro
49′
🟨 Rubén Alcaraz
Damián Suárez 🟨
59′
62′
🔁 Gonzalo Escalante
↦ Rubén Alcaraz
Mason Greenwood 🟨
66′
75′
🔁 Sergi Guardiola
↦ Roger Martí
75′
🔁 Maximiliano Gómez
↦ Chris Ramos
1–0 Borja Mayoral
Mason Greenwood
76′
84′
🔁 Álvaro Negredo
↦ Rominigue Kouamé
Juan Iglesias 🔁
↦ Mason Greenwood
86′
Gastón Álvarez 🟨
89′
Juanmi Latasa 🔁
↦ Borja Mayoral
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
22 Damián Suárez D
4 Gastón Álvarez D
15 Omar Alderete D
16 Diego Rico D
18 José Ángel Carmona M
2 Djené M
20 Nemanja Maksimović M
12 Mason Greenwood M
19 Borja Mayoral F
7 Jaime Mata F
Bench (11)
5 Luis Milla
21 Juan Iglesias
14 Juanmi Latasa
1 Daniel Fuzato
6 Domingos Duarte
3 Fabrizio Angileri
23 Stefan Mitrović
11 Carles Aleñá
9 Óscar Rodríguez
32 Jordi Martín
17 Anthony Lozano

Coach: José Bordalás

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 Jeremías Ledesma G
20 Iza Carcelén D
5 Víctor Chust D
15 Javier Hernández D
33 Lucas Pires D
27 Robert Navarro M
12 Rominigue Kouamé M
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
18 Darwin Machís M
21 Roger Martí F
16 Chris Ramos F
Bench (10)
8 Álex Fernández
17 Gonzalo Escalante
25 Maximiliano Gómez
19 Sergi Guardiola
9 Álvaro Negredo
26 Victor Wehbi Aznar
13 David Gil
22 Jorge Meré
14 Mamadou Mbaye
6 José Mari

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,93
U
3,21
B
4,67
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,73
U2,5 ✓
1,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.