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Copa del Rey
Referee: Isidro Díaz de Mera
Juventud Torremolinos
U
0–3
Full-time
Sevilla
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventud Torremolinos Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Juventud Torremolinos 56. · Sevilla 30. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 Mallorca 2 2 0 0 +7 6
3 Elche 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Levante 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Sp Gijon 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Espanol 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Getafe 2 2 0 0 +3 6
8 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Intercity 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 Ath Bilbao 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Alaves 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 Vallecano 2 1 1 0 +2 4
13 Cartagena 2 1 1 0 +1 4
14 Saguntino 2 1 1 0 +1 4
15 Celta 1 1 0 0 +5 3
16 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 La Nucía 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Eibar 2 1 0 1 +2 3
23 Pontevedra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Ibiza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 CD Coria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Arenteiro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Andorra 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 Guijuelo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Oviedo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Granada 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Linares Deportivo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Arenas Getxo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Mollerussa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Fuentes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Alcora 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Real Unión 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Mirandes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Sestao River 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Barbadás 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Numancia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Velarde 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Diocesano 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Algar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Cazalegas 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Guadalajara 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Santa Amalia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
55 Alcorcon 2 0 2 0 +0 2
56 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Coruxo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Eldense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Utebo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Dinamo San Juan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Peña Deportiva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Real Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Arnedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Atlético Baleares 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Ourense CF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Montilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Gernika 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Burgos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Mérida AD 2 0 1 1 -1 1
74 Atlético Paso 2 0 1 1 -1 1
75 Rincón 2 0 1 1 -3 1
76 Autol 2 0 1 1 -6 1
77 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Gimnástica Torrelavega 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Yeclano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Cadiz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Universitario FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Atlético Lugones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Los Yébenes SB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Unión Adarve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Turégano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Ferrol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Utrera 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Cirbonero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Cardassar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Racing Rioja 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Cristo Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Fuenlabrada 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Almazán 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Lealtad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Vimenor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 San Juan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 Almeria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
113 Alzira 1 0 0 1 -2 0
114 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
116 Amigó 1 0 0 1 -3 0
117 Huétor Tájar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
118 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -3 0
119 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
120 Olot 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventud Torremolinos Sevilla
31′
⚽ Carlos Álvarez 0–1
Rafa Mir
J. Lopez 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 J. Jordan
Javi Forján 🔁
↦ A. Chamorro
46′
57′
⚽ Dani 1–1
own goal
Pesca 🔁
↦ Álex Machuca
61′
I. Arrieta 🟨
62′
Gerrit 🔁
↦ Javi Amaya
75′
Carlos Cano 🔁
↦ Caturla
75′
75′
🔁 Nacho Quintana
↦ Carlos Álvarez
Dani 🟨
84′
M. Garcia 🟨
84′
Carlos García 🔁
↦ Dani Lavela
86′
87′
🔁 Kike Salas
↦ K. Rekik
C. Cano 🟨
90′
92′
⚽ Joan Jordán 1–2
Rafa Mir
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Juventud Torremolinos

1 Amador Zarco
4 Ismael Heredia
5 Dani
19 Miguel García
3 Dani Lavela
10 Javi Amaya
22 Álex Machuca
6 Caturla
8 Fran Castillo
11 Javi López
16 A. Chamorro
Bench (11)
9 Javi Forján
7 Pesca
15 Gerrit
18 Carlos Cano
14 Carlos García
21 Jorge Borrego
20 J. Farrell
13 Francisco Javier
12 Miguelito
2 José
23 A. Ispas

Coach: Ibón Pérez

Sevilla

1 M. Dmitrović
16 Jesús Navas
4 K. Rekik
14 T. Nianzou
10 I. Rakitić
20 Fernando
6 N. Gudelj
21 Óliver Torres
8 Joan Jordán
12 Rafa Mir
27 Carlos Álvarez
Bench (6)
28 Nacho Quintana
29 Kike Salas
30 José Ángel Carmona
31 Alberto Flores
34 Pedro Ortiz
11 A. Januzaj

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Isidro Díaz de Mera · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.