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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Elche
U U U T T
2–2
Full-time
Osasuna
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Osasuna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,7
This season — La Liga · 12/13 matches
Win Ø 24%
25%
23%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
33%
38%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%
7 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Elche 16. · Osasuna 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 12 9 2 1 +19 29
2 Real Madrid 14 9 2 3 +11 29
3 Sociedad 15 7 5 3 +15 26
4 Villarreal 14 6 7 1 +6 25
5 Barcelona 13 6 3 4 +11 21
6 Granada 13 6 3 4 -3 21
7 Sevilla 12 6 2 4 +4 20
8 Celta 14 5 4 5 -1 19
9 Cadiz 14 5 3 6 -8 18
10 Ath Bilbao 14 5 2 7 +0 17
11 Getafe 13 4 4 5 -3 16
12 Betis 14 5 1 8 -11 16
13 Valencia 14 3 6 5 +0 15
14 Eibar 14 3 6 5 -3 15
15 Levante 13 3 5 5 -2 14
16 Elche 12 3 5 4 -4 14
17 Alaves 14 3 5 6 -5 14
18 Valladolid 14 3 5 6 -6 14
19 Huesca 14 1 8 5 -10 11
20 Osasuna 13 3 2 8 -10 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Osasuna
10′
Rubén García 0–1
J. Calleri
Half-time 0–1
Víctor Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Dani Calvo
46′
Nino 🔁
↦ Josan Ferrández
46′
Josema Sánchez 🔁
↦ Tete Morente
46′
1–1 Fidel
E. Rigoni
47′
60′
🔁 Oier
↦ Moncayola
64′
D. Brašanac 1–2
Rubén García
73′
🟨 Iñigo Pérez
74′
🔁 Javi Martínez
↦ D. Brašanac
G. Carrillo 🔁
↦ J. Sánchez
76′
2–2 G. Carrillo
78′
Guido Carrillo 🟨
84′
Pere Milla 🔁
↦ L. Boyé
87′
88′
🔁 A. Budimir
↦ J. Calleri
88′
🔁 Nacho Vidal
↦ Unai García
88′
🔁 Kike Barja
↦ Rubén García
90′
🟨 Iñigo Pérez
90′
🟥 Iñigo Pérez
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Elche

4-1-4-1
13 Edgar Badia G
19 Barragán D
3 J. Sánchez D
5 Gonzalo Verdú D
12 Dani Calvo D
4 I. Marcone M
16 Fidel M
17 Josan Ferrández M
22 E. Rigoni M
9 L. Boyé F
11 Tete Morente M
Bench (12)
8 Víctor Rodríguez
7 Nino
24 Josema Sánchez
21 G. Carrillo
10 Pere Milla
23 Cifuentes
14 Raúl Guti
20 S. Lucumí
18 Y. Koné
1 D. Rodríguez
26 John Donald
15 Luismi Sánchez

Coach: J. Almirón

Osasuna

4-4-2
13 Rubén G
12 F. Roncaglia D
3 Juan Cruz D
5 David García D
4 Unai García D
21 Iñigo Pérez M
10 Roberto Torres M
8 D. Brašanac M
14 Rubén García F
27 Moncayola M
16 J. Calleri F
Bench (11)
6 Oier
28 Javi Martínez
17 A. Budimir
2 Nacho Vidal
11 Kike Barja
20 Adrián
19 Enric Gallego
1 Sergio Herrera
18 Brandon
22 Raúl Navas
36 Iván Martínez

Coach: Arrasate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,33
U ✓
3,00
B
2,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,61
U2,5
1,49
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.