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Championship

Referee: C Kavanagh

Middlesbrough

U T S S U

1–0

Full-time

Bournemouth

T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Bournemouth

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — Championship · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 46%

39%

52%

Points per game

1,4

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

26%

52%

Both score Ø 46%

43%

48%

Average goals

2,1

2,4

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%

19 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Middlesbrough 8. · Bournemouth 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	23	14	6	3	+34	48
2	Bournemouth	23	12	8	3	+18	44
3	West Brom	24	12	8	4	+14	44
4	Blackburn	23	12	6	5	+14	42
5	Stoke	23	11	5	7	+7	38
6	Coventry	23	10	7	6	+6	37
7	QPR	22	10	5	7	+5	35
8	Middlesbrough	23	9	6	8	+3	33
9	Luton	22	8	7	7	+7	31
10	Sheffield United	21	9	4	8	+4	31
11	Preston	23	8	7	8	-3	31
12	Nott'm Forest	21	8	6	7	+6	30
13	Huddersfield	21	8	6	7	+2	30
14	Millwall	23	7	9	7	-1	30
15	Swansea	23	8	6	9	-2	30
16	Reading	23	9	3	11	-5	30
17	Bristol City	23	8	6	9	-7	30
18	Blackpool	22	7	6	9	-6	27
19	Birmingham	23	7	6	10	-7	27
20	Derby	23	5	10	8	-4	25
21	Hull	23	6	5	12	-8	23
22	Cardiff	23	6	5	12	-14	23
23	Peterboro	22	5	4	13	-22	19
24	Peterborough	22	5	4	13	-22	19
25	Barnsley	24	2	9	13	-19	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Coventry	12	8	2	2	+13	26
2	Blackburn	12	8	2	2	+12	26
3	West Brom	11	7	4	0	+12	25
4	Fulham	11	7	3	1	+17	24
5	Stoke	12	7	3	2	+8	24
6	Preston	12	6	4	2	+4	22
7	Bournemouth	11	6	3	2	+10	21
8	QPR	11	6	3	2	+6	21
9	Middlesbrough	12	6	2	4	+5	20
10	Huddersfield	10	6	2	2	+5	20
11	Swansea	12	5	4	3	+5	19
12	Millwall	11	5	4	2	+3	19
13	Luton	11	5	3	3	+7	18
14	Reading	12	5	3	4	+2	18
15	Sheffield United	11	5	2	4	+8	17
16	Derby	11	4	5	2	+2	17
17	Peterboro	11	4	4	3	+3	16
18	Peterborough	11	4	4	3	+3	16
19	Birmingham	11	4	3	4	-2	15
20	Nott'm Forest	11	4	2	5	-1	14
21	Bristol City	11	3	5	3	-1	14
22	Blackpool	11	4	2	5	-5	14
23	Hull	12	3	3	6	-4	12
24	Barnsley	12	2	4	6	-7	10
25	Cardiff	11	2	1	8	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	12	7	3	2	+17	24
2	Bournemouth	12	6	5	1	+8	23
3	West Brom	13	5	4	4	+2	19
4	Nott'm Forest	10	4	4	2	+7	16
5	Blackburn	11	4	4	3	+2	16
6	Cardiff	12	4	4	4	-5	16
7	Bristol City	12	5	1	6	-6	16
8	QPR	11	4	2	5	-1	14
9	Stoke	11	4	2	5	-1	14
10	Sheffield United	10	4	2	4	-4	14
11	Luton	11	3	4	4	+0	13
12	Blackpool	11	3	4	4	-1	13
13	Middlesbrough	11	3	4	4	-2	13
14	Birmingham	12	3	3	6	-5	12
15	Reading	11	4	0	7	-7	12
16	Millwall	12	2	5	5	-4	11
17	Hull	11	3	2	6	-4	11
18	Swansea	11	3	2	6	-7	11
19	Coventry	11	2	5	4	-7	11
20	Huddersfield	11	2	4	5	-3	10
21	Preston	11	2	3	6	-7	9
22	Derby	12	1	5	6	-6	8
23	Barnsley	12	0	5	7	-12	5
24	Peterboro	11	1	0	10	-25	3
25	Peterborough	11	1	0	10	-25	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.