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Pro League
Referee: L D'hondt
Gent
U U S S S
2–1
Full-time
St Truiden
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,2
This season — Pro League · 15/20 matches
Win Ø 35%
40%
30%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
40%
55%
Both score Ø 54%
47%
60%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
8 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 13. · St Truiden 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 18 15 1 2 +32 46
2 Anderlecht 18 11 6 1 +29 39
3 Club Brugge 17 11 4 2 +15 37
4 Kortrijk 22 10 7 5 +8 37
5 Antwerp 17 10 2 5 +11 32
6 Charleroi 16 8 5 3 +11 29
7 Standard 19 7 5 7 -9 26
8 Oostende 21 8 2 11 -15 26
9 Eupen 20 7 4 9 -1 25
10 Cercle Brugge 22 7 4 11 -1 25
11 Genk 15 7 3 5 +10 24
12 Mechelen 17 7 2 8 -4 23
13 Gent 15 6 4 5 +6 22
14 St Truiden 20 6 3 11 -12 21
15 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 20 4 8 8 -11 20
16 Waregem 21 5 5 11 -19 20
17 Seraing 20 6 1 13 -17 19
18 Seraing United 20 6 1 13 -17 19
19 Beerschot VA 20 3 3 14 -16 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent St Truiden
1–0 L. Depoitre
R. Bezus
27′
Half-time 1–0
Roman Bezus 🟨
51′
Alessio Castro-Montes 🟨
56′
2–0 T. Tissoudali
R. Bezus
64′
66′
🔁 A. Koita
↦ D. Hayashi
Julien De Sart 🟨
70′
75′
🔁 R. Reitz
↦ D. Lavalée
A. Hjulsager 🔁
↦ A. Castro-Montes
80′
S. Kums 🔁
↦ R. Bezus
80′
V. Odjidja-Ofoe 🔁
↦ J. De Sart
80′
82′
🔁 W. Janssens
↦ D. Hashioka
83′
🟨 Aboubakary Koita
85′
T. Hara 2–1
C. Brüls
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-2-1
1 S. Bolat G
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
3 C. Opéri M
14 A. Castro-Montes M
2 J. Okumu D
9 R. Bezus F
13 J. De Sart M
6 E. Owusu M
29 L. Depoitre F
34 T. Tissoudali F
Bench (7)
17 A. Hjulsager
24 S. Kums
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe
33 D. Roef
25 Núrio Fortuna
22 S. Marreh
7 I. Mboyo

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

St Truiden

3-5-2
21 D. Schmidt G
37 T. Leistner D
40 J. Pius D
27 D. Lavalée M
13 L. Cacace M
4 D. Hashioka M
44 C. Brüls M
20 R. Bauer D
6 M. Konaté M
18 T. Hara F
15 D. Hayashi F
Bench (7)
14 A. Koita
8 R. Reitz
22 W. Janssens
39 Jonathan Buatu
26 Jorge Teixeira
35 W. Vanmarsenille
9 Y. Suzuki

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,36
U
4,76
B
8,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,80
U2,5
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L D'hondt · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.