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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Vallecano
T S U S T
2–0
Full-time
Alaves
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 17/16 matches
Win Ø 36%
47%
25%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
53%
38%
Both score Ø 46%
47%
44%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

62% Possession 38%
20 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vallecano 6. · Alaves 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 17 13 3 1 +24 42
2 Sevilla 16 10 4 2 +15 34
3 Betis 17 10 3 4 +12 33
4 Ath Madrid 16 8 5 3 +9 29
5 Sociedad 17 8 5 4 +2 29
6 Vallecano 17 8 3 6 +6 27
7 Valencia 17 6 7 4 +3 25
8 Barcelona 16 6 6 4 +6 24
9 Espanol 18 6 5 7 -1 23
10 Osasuna 17 5 7 5 -4 22
11 Ath Bilbao 17 4 9 4 +1 21
12 Celta 18 5 5 8 -2 20
13 Mallorca 17 4 8 5 -7 20
14 Villarreal 16 4 7 5 +1 19
15 Granada 16 3 7 6 -7 16
16 Elche 17 3 6 8 -8 15
17 Alaves 16 4 3 9 -9 15
18 Cadiz 17 2 7 8 -16 13
19 Getafe 17 2 6 9 -9 12
20 Levante 17 0 8 9 -16 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,80
U
3,55
B
4,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,16
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.