Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Malaga
Leganes
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Almeria
|
20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | +24 | 45 |
| 2 |
Ponferradina
|
20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | +10 | 36 |
| 3 |
Eibar
|
20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | +6 | 36 |
| 4 |
Tenerife
|
20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | +10 | 35 |
| 5 |
Valladolid
|
20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | +7 | 34 |
| 6 |
Girona
|
21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | +4 | 31 |
| 7 |
Las Palmas
|
20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | +3 | 31 |
| 8 |
Oviedo
|
20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | +4 | 28 |
| 9 |
Burgos
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | +0 | 28 |
| 10 |
Cartagena
|
20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 |
Malaga
|
20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | -6 | 27 |
| 12 |
Huesca
|
20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 26 |
| 13 |
Zaragoza
|
20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 |
Ibiza
|
20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 |
Sp Gijon
|
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | -5 | 24 |
| 16 |
Lugo
|
20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | +0 | 23 |
| 17 |
Mirandes
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -3 | 23 |
| 18 |
Leganes
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -2 | 22 |
| 19 |
Fuenlabrada
|
20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | -7 | 19 |
| 20 |
Amorebieta
|
20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | -7 | 18 |
| 21 |
Sociedad B
|
20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -9 | 17 |
| 22 |
Alcorcon
|
20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | -23 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Eibar
Malaga
Malaga
Amorebieta
Burgos
Malaga
Malaga
Las Palmas
Malaga
Tenerife
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.