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La Liga
Referee: José Munuera
Celta
S S S S T
1–2
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
10 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Feb -21 Ath Madrid – Celta 2–2 17. Oct -20 Celta – Ath Madrid 0–2 7. Jul -20 Celta – Ath Madrid 1–1 21. Sep -19 Ath Madrid – Celta 0–0 13. Apr -19 Ath Madrid – Celta 2–0

Match report

Celta Ath Madrid
11′
🟨 Thomas Lemar
23′
⚽ Á. Correa 0–1
T. Lemar
Half-time 0–1
Iago Aspas ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
56′
56′
ℹ️ Iago Aspas
VAR: Penalty cancelled
57′
🟨 Marcos Llorente
1–1 Iago Aspas ⚽
59′
61′
🟨 Geoffrey Kondogbia
F. Cervi 🔁
↦ Nolito
62′
64′
⚽ Á. Correa 1–2
Saúl
65′
🔁 L. Suárez
↦ Á. Correa
65′
🔁 R. De Paul
↦ T. Lemar
66′
🔁 K. Trippier
↦ Koke
Fran Beltrán 🔁
↦ Brais Méndez
74′
A. Solari 🔁
↦ R. Tapia
75′
Denis Suárez 🟨
77′
82′
🔁 Renan Lodi
↦ Marcos Llorente
Augusto Solari 🟨
86′
Miguel Baeza 🔁
↦ Javier Galán
89′
Jose Fontán 🟨
90′
92′
🟨 Yannick Carrasco
Hugo Mallo 🟨
95′
Hugo Mallo 🟨
95′
Hugo Mallo 🟥
95′
95′
🟥 Mario Hermoso
97′
🔁 Š. Vrsaljko
↦ Y. Carrasco
98′
🟨 José Giménez
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Celta

4-1-3-2
1 M. Dituro G
2 Hugo Mallo D
4 N. Araújo D
17 Javier Galán D
19 José Fontán D
6 Denis Suárez M
14 R. Tapia M
23 Brais Méndez M
10 Iago Aspas F
9 Nolito M
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (8)
11 F. Cervi
8 Fran Beltrán
21 A. Solari
16 Miguel Baeza
28 Carlos Domínguez
15 J. Aidoo
13 Rubén Blanco
20 Kevin Vázquez

Coach: E. Coudet

Ath Madrid

3-1-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
15 S. Savić D
2 J. Giménez D
22 Hermoso D
8 Saúl M
4 G. Kondogbia M
6 Koke M
21 Y. Carrasco F
11 T. Lemar M
14 Marcos Llorente M
10 Á. Correa F
Bench (9)
9 L. Suárez
5 R. De Paul
23 K. Trippier
12 Renan Lodi
24 Š. Vrsaljko
1 I. Grbić
26 Javier Serrano
27 G. Simeone
29 Sergio Camello

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,17
🔒
U
3,25
🔒
B ✓
2,01
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,21
🔒
U2,5
1,69
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

José Munuera · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.