La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Real Madrid
Betis
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ath Madrid
|
32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | +39 | 73 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | +32 | 70 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | +46 | 68 |
| 4 |
Sevilla
|
32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | +22 | 67 |
| 5 |
Sociedad
|
32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | +16 | 50 |
| 6 |
Villarreal
|
32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | +13 | 49 |
| 7 |
Betis
|
32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | -3 | 49 |
| 8 |
Granada
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -11 | 42 |
| 9 |
Osasuna
|
32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | -7 | 40 |
| 10 |
Ath Bilbao
|
31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | +6 | 38 |
| 11 |
Celta
|
32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | -8 | 38 |
| 12 |
Levante
|
33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | -8 | 38 |
| 13 |
Cadiz
|
33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -21 | 37 |
| 14 |
Valencia
|
33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | -7 | 36 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 31 |
| 16 |
Alaves
|
33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | -21 | 31 |
| 17 |
Elche
|
33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -20 | 30 |
| 18 |
Valladolid
|
32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | -14 | 29 |
| 19 |
Huesca
|
32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -17 | 27 |
| 20 |
Eibar
|
32 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -22 | 23 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Cadiz
Real Madrid
Getafe
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Eibar
Celta
Real Madrid
Javier Estrada · 42 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.