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La Liga

Referee: Guillermo Cuadra

Valladolid

S U T U S

0–1

Full-time

Valencia

U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 21%

24%

18%

Points per game

1,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

35%

59%

Both score Ø 62%

53%

71%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

0,9

1,4

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%

11 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

0 Corners 4

3 Offside 5

14 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valladolid 15. · Valencia 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	15	12	2	1	+23	38
2	Real Madrid	18	11	4	3	+15	37
3	Barcelona	18	10	4	4	+20	34
4	Villarreal	18	8	8	2	+9	32
5	Sociedad	19	8	6	5	+13	30
6	Sevilla	16	9	3	4	+8	30
7	Granada	17	7	3	7	-10	24
8	Celta	18	6	5	7	-6	23
9	Cadiz	18	6	5	7	-7	23
10	Levante	17	5	6	6	-1	21
11	Ath Bilbao	18	6	3	9	-1	21
12	Betis	17	6	2	9	-11	20
13	Eibar	18	4	7	7	-3	19
14	Alaves	18	4	6	8	-7	18
15	Valladolid	17	4	6	7	-8	18
16	Getafe	16	4	5	7	-5	17
17	Valencia	17	3	7	7	-2	16
18	Elche	15	3	7	5	-5	16
19	Osasuna	17	3	6	8	-10	15
20	Huesca	17	1	9	7	-12	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	8	7	1	0	+17	22
2	Villarreal	9	5	4	0	+7	19
3	Barcelona	9	5	3	1	+11	18
4	Real Madrid	8	6	0	2	+10	18
5	Granada	9	5	2	2	+1	17
6	Sevilla	8	5	1	2	+5	16
7	Ath Bilbao	9	5	0	4	+5	15
8	Levante	8	4	3	1	+4	15
9	Celta	9	5	0	4	-2	15
10	Sociedad	9	3	4	2	+5	13
11	Getafe	9	3	2	4	+0	11
12	Betis	8	3	2	3	-1	11
13	Valencia	9	2	4	3	+1	10
14	Alaves	9	2	4	3	-2	10
15	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	-4	9
16	Cadiz	9	2	3	4	-4	9
17	Osasuna	9	2	3	4	-5	9
18	Elche	8	1	5	2	-3	8
19	Huesca	8	1	4	3	-3	7
20	Eibar	9	1	4	4	-4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	10	5	4	1	+5	19
2	Sociedad	10	5	2	3	+8	17
3	Barcelona	9	5	1	3	+9	16
4	Ath Madrid	7	5	1	1	+6	16
5	Sevilla	8	4	2	2	+3	14
6	Cadiz	9	4	2	3	-3	14
7	Villarreal	9	3	4	2	+2	13
8	Eibar	9	3	3	3	+1	12
9	Valladolid	9	2	3	4	-4	9
10	Betis	9	3	0	6	-10	9
11	Elche	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Celta	9	1	5	3	-4	8
13	Alaves	9	2	2	5	-5	8
14	Granada	8	2	1	5	-11	7
15	Valencia	8	1	3	4	-3	6
16	Levante	9	1	3	5	-5	6
17	Osasuna	8	1	3	4	-5	6
18	Getafe	7	1	3	3	-5	6
19	Ath Bilbao	9	1	3	5	-6	6
20	Huesca	9	0	5	4	-9	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.