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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Barcelona
U S U S S
1–0
Full-time
Levante
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,2
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 49%
71%
26%
Points per game
2,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
59%
68%
Both score Ø 58%
56%
59%
Average goals
3,4
3,3
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
0,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
23 Shots 7
12 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 11
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Levante 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 34 24 8 2 +53 80
2 Ath Madrid 35 22 8 5 +29 74
3 Real Madrid 34 20 5 9 +21 65
4 Sevilla 34 16 7 11 +17 55
5 Getafe 34 14 13 7 +14 55
6 Valencia 34 12 16 6 +9 52
7 Ath Bilbao 35 12 14 9 -3 50
8 Alaves 35 12 11 12 -9 47
9 Espanol 34 11 10 13 -9 43
10 Betis 34 12 7 15 -10 43
11 Leganes 35 10 12 13 -6 42
12 Sociedad 34 10 11 13 -3 41
13 Eibar 34 9 13 12 -5 40
14 Villarreal 34 9 12 13 -3 39
15 Celta 35 9 10 16 -9 37
16 Levante 34 9 10 15 -10 37
17 Valladolid 35 8 11 16 -19 35
18 Girona 34 8 10 16 -13 34
19 Huesca 34 6 11 17 -18 29
20 Vallecano 34 7 7 20 -26 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona Levante
Ivan Rakitić 🟨
14′
Half-time 0–0
L. Messi 🔁
↦ Philippe Coutinho
46′
46′
🔁 José Luis Morales
↦ M. Simon
56′
🟨 Ruben Rochina
58′
🟨 Rubén Vezo
1–0 L. Messi
A. Vidal
62′
65′
🔁 E. Bardhi
↦ N. Vukčević
Gerard Piqué 🟨
70′
Sergio Busquets 🔁
↦ Arthur
73′
Nélson Semedo 🟨
77′
83′
🟨 Coke
Sergi Roberto 🔁
↦ O. Dembélé
84′
84′
🔁 Roger Martí
↦ Rubén Rochina
Sergio Busquets 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba D
15 C. Lenglet D
2 Nélson Semedo D
4 I. Rakitić M
22 A. Vidal M
7 Philippe Coutinho M
8 Arthur M
9 L. Suárez F
11 O. Dembélé F
Bench (7)
10 L. Messi
5 Sergio Busquets
20 Sergi Roberto
14 Malcom
23 S. Umtiti
21 Carles Aleñà
13 J. Cillessen

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Levante

4-1-4-1
25 Aitor Fernández G
12 Coke D
22 Luna D
14 Rúben Vezo D
4 Rober D
16 Rubén Rochina M
24 Campaña M
17 N. Vukčević M
23 Jason M
7 M. Simon M
2 Borja Mayoral F
Bench (7)
11 José Luis Morales
10 E. Bardhi
9 Roger Martí
18 E. Cabaco
13 Oier
20 R. Dwamena
19 Pedro López

Coach: Paco López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.