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La Liga

Referee: Juan Martínez

Leganes

U S T U T

1–1

Full-time

Alaves

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,5

2,2

Scored

0,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 24%

16%

32%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

40%

44%

Both score Ø 48%

44%

52%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

19 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leganes 19. · Alaves 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	25	17	4	4	+33	55
2	Real Madrid	25	15	8	2	+29	53
3	Sociedad	25	13	4	8	+12	43
4	Ath Madrid	25	11	10	4	+10	43
5	Sevilla	25	12	7	6	+9	43
6	Getafe	25	12	6	7	+11	42
7	Valencia	26	11	8	7	-1	41
8	Villarreal	25	11	5	9	+8	38
9	Granada	25	11	3	11	+1	36
10	Levante	26	10	2	14	-8	32
11	Ath Bilbao	25	7	10	8	+2	31
12	Osasuna	25	7	10	8	-4	31
13	Betis	26	7	9	10	-6	30
14	Alaves	25	8	6	11	-8	30
15	Valladolid	26	6	11	9	-7	29
16	Eibar	25	7	6	12	-12	27
17	Celta	25	5	9	11	-12	24
18	Mallorca	25	6	4	15	-16	22
19	Leganes	25	4	7	14	-19	19
20	Espanol	25	4	7	14	-22	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	12	1	0	+32	37
2	Valencia	14	8	6	0	+11	30
3	Real Madrid	12	8	4	0	+16	28
4	Ath Madrid	13	8	4	1	+11	28
5	Sociedad	13	8	2	3	+15	26
6	Granada	12	8	1	3	+8	25
7	Getafe	13	7	3	3	+8	24
8	Levante	12	7	2	3	+7	23
9	Villarreal	12	6	4	2	+10	22
10	Alaves	13	6	4	3	+7	22
11	Ath Bilbao	12	6	3	3	+7	21
12	Betis	13	6	3	4	+5	21
13	Sevilla	12	5	5	2	+5	20
14	Mallorca	13	6	2	5	+3	20
15	Eibar	12	6	1	5	+1	19
16	Osasuna	13	4	5	4	-1	17
17	Celta	13	4	5	4	-2	17
18	Valladolid	12	3	7	2	+4	16
19	Leganes	13	4	2	7	-6	14
20	Espanol	12	1	4	7	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	13	7	4	2	+13	25
2	Sevilla	13	7	2	4	+4	23
3	Getafe	12	5	3	4	+3	18
4	Barcelona	12	5	3	4	+1	18
5	Sociedad	12	5	2	5	-3	17
6	Villarreal	13	5	1	7	-2	16
7	Ath Madrid	12	3	6	3	-1	15
8	Osasuna	12	3	5	4	-3	14
9	Valladolid	14	3	4	7	-11	13
10	Espanol	13	3	3	7	-10	12
11	Granada	13	3	2	8	-7	11
12	Valencia	12	3	2	7	-12	11
13	Ath Bilbao	13	1	7	5	-5	10
14	Betis	13	1	6	6	-11	9
15	Levante	14	3	0	11	-15	9
16	Eibar	13	1	5	7	-13	8
17	Alaves	12	2	2	8	-15	8
18	Celta	12	1	4	7	-10	7
19	Leganes	12	0	5	7	-13	5
20	Mallorca	12	0	2	10	-19	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.