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La Liga

Referee: Daniel Jesus Trujillo Suarez

Alaves

S T S T S

2–2

Full-time

Leganes

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Leganes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 19/18 matches

Win Ø 36%

32%

39%

Points per game

0,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

32%

33%

Both score Ø 24%

26%

22%

Average goals

2,2

1,8

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

14 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 6

6 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 17. · Leganes 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	19	16	3	0	+43	51
2	Ath Madrid	20	12	7	1	+20	43
3	Valencia	20	12	4	4	+20	40
4	Villarreal	20	10	4	6	+6	34
5	Real Madrid	18	9	5	4	+15	32
6	Sevilla	20	10	2	8	-2	32
7	Getafe	20	7	6	7	+5	27
8	Girona	20	7	6	7	+0	27
9	Betis	19	8	3	8	-3	27
10	Eibar	19	8	3	8	-7	27
11	Ath Bilbao	20	6	8	6	+1	26
12	Celta	19	7	4	8	+6	25
13	Leganes	18	7	3	8	-2	24
14	Espanol	20	6	6	8	-9	24
15	Sociedad	19	6	5	8	-1	23
16	Levante	20	3	9	8	-12	18
17	Alaves	19	6	0	13	-13	18
18	La Coruna	19	4	4	11	-16	16
19	Las Palmas	20	4	2	14	-31	14
20	Malaga	19	3	2	14	-20	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	8	1	0	+25	25
2	Valencia	10	7	2	1	+15	23
3	Getafe	11	6	2	3	+9	20
4	Sevilla	9	6	2	1	+8	20
5	Ath Madrid	9	5	4	0	+7	19
6	Real Madrid	10	5	2	3	+9	17
7	Villarreal	9	5	2	2	+9	17
8	Eibar	10	5	2	3	+6	17
9	Betis	10	5	2	3	+3	17
10	Espanol	11	5	2	4	+0	17
11	Girona	10	4	2	4	+3	14
12	Leganes	8	4	2	2	+1	14
13	Ath Bilbao	9	3	4	2	+2	13
14	Celta	9	3	3	3	+1	12
15	Sociedad	10	3	3	4	+0	12
16	Alaves	10	4	0	6	-5	12
17	Levante	11	2	4	5	-6	10
18	La Coruna	10	3	1	6	-7	10
19	Las Palmas	10	3	1	6	-11	10
20	Malaga	9	2	2	5	-6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	8	2	0	+18	26
2	Ath Madrid	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	Valencia	10	5	2	3	+5	17
4	Villarreal	11	5	2	4	-3	17
5	Real Madrid	8	4	3	1	+6	15
6	Celta	10	4	1	5	+5	13
7	Ath Bilbao	11	3	4	4	-1	13
8	Girona	10	3	4	3	-3	13
9	Sevilla	11	4	0	7	-10	12
10	Sociedad	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Leganes	10	3	1	6	-3	10
12	Betis	9	3	1	5	-6	10
13	Eibar	9	3	1	5	-13	10
14	Levante	9	1	5	3	-6	8
15	Getafe	9	1	4	4	-4	7
16	Espanol	9	1	4	4	-9	7
17	Alaves	9	2	0	7	-8	6
18	La Coruna	9	1	3	5	-9	6
19	Las Palmas	10	1	1	8	-20	4
20	Malaga	10	1	0	9	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.