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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
Granada
T S T S S
0–0
Full-time
Celta
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 32%
44%
20%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
44%
36%
Both score Ø 44%
36%
52%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
14 Shots 6
0 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 1
3 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Granada 9. · Celta 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 25 17 4 4 +33 55
2 Real Madrid 25 15 8 2 +29 53
3 Sociedad 25 13 4 8 +12 43
4 Ath Madrid 25 11 10 4 +10 43
5 Sevilla 25 12 7 6 +9 43
6 Getafe 25 12 6 7 +11 42
7 Valencia 26 11 8 7 -1 41
8 Villarreal 25 11 5 9 +8 38
9 Granada 25 11 3 11 +1 36
10 Levante 26 10 2 14 -8 32
11 Ath Bilbao 25 7 10 8 +2 31
12 Osasuna 25 7 10 8 -4 31
13 Alaves 26 8 7 11 -8 31
14 Betis 26 7 9 10 -6 30
15 Valladolid 26 6 11 9 -7 29
16 Eibar 25 7 6 12 -12 27
17 Celta 25 5 9 11 -12 24
18 Mallorca 25 6 4 15 -16 22
19 Leganes 26 4 8 14 -19 20
20 Espanol 25 4 7 14 -22 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Granada Celta
23′
🟨 Néstor Araujo
Fede Vico 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Pione Sisto
Yangel Herrera 🟨
54′
R. Azeez 🔁
↦ Y. Eteki
57′
57′
🔁 Santi Mina
↦ F. Smolov
60′
🟨 Iago Aspas
Antonio Puertas 🔁
↦ Vadillo
63′
70′
🔁 Brais Méndez
↦ P. Sisto
73′
🟨 Hugo Mallo
D. Machís 🔁
↦ Fede Vico
74′
75′
🟨 Sergio Álvarez
Roberto Soldado 🟨
79′
90′
🔁 Pape Diop
↦ Fran Beltrán
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Granada

3-4-2-1
1 Rui Silva G
20 Jesús Vallejo D
22 Domingos Duarte D
5 José Antonio Martinez D
2 Dimitri Foulquier M
21 Yangel Herrera M
8 Yan Brice M
11 İsmail Köybaşı M
14 Fede Vico F
7 Álvaro Vadillo F
9 Roberto Soldado F
Bench (7)
35 Unai Etxebarria
16 Víctor Díaz
17 Gil Dias
12 Ramon Azeez
10 Antonio Puertas
18 Antoñin
23 Darwin Machís

Coach: Diego Martínez

Celta

4-4-2
13 Rubén Blanco G
2 Hugo Mallo D
21 Jeison Murillo D
4 Néstor Araujo D
15 Lucas Olaza D
12 Rafinha Alcántara M
8 Fran Beltran M
5 Okay Yokuşlu M
11 Pione Sisto M
10 Iago Aspas F
9 Fedor Smolov F
Bench (7)
1 Sergio Álvarez
17 David Juncà
18 Joseph Aidoo
16 Jorge Sáenz
23 Brais Méndez
24 Pape Cheikh
22 Santi Mina

Coach: Óscar García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,81
U ✓
3,06
B
2,72
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,44
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.