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Bundesliga

Referee: M Gräfe

FC Koln

S T S T S

3–0

Full-time

Schalke 04

T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Schalke 04

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

4,2

2,3

Scored

2,5

0,5

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,3

This season — Bundesliga · 22/23 matches

Win Ø 38%

36%

39%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

68%

57%

Both score Ø 54%

55%

52%

Average goals

3,4

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

1,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

38% Possession 62%

11 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

8 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Koln 14. · Schalke 04 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	24	16	4	4	+45	52
2	RB Leipzig	23	14	6	3	+36	48
3	Dortmund	24	14	6	4	+34	48
4	M'gladbach	23	14	4	5	+19	46
5	Leverkusen	23	13	4	6	+11	43
6	Schalke 04	23	9	9	5	+0	36
7	Wolfsburg	23	9	7	7	+4	34
8	Hoffenheim	24	10	4	10	-8	34
9	Freiburg	24	9	6	9	-3	33
10	Union Berlin	23	9	2	12	-7	29
11	Ein Frankfurt	23	8	4	11	+1	28
12	Augsburg	24	7	6	11	-14	27
13	Hertha	24	7	6	11	-16	27
14	FC Koln	22	8	2	12	-9	26
15	Mainz	24	8	1	15	-19	25
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	24	5	6	13	-23	21
17	Werder Bremen	23	4	5	14	-28	17
18	Paderborn	24	4	4	16	-23	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	12	9	3	0	+31	30
2	Bayern Munich	12	8	2	2	+25	26
3	M'gladbach	11	8	2	1	+14	26
4	RB Leipzig	11	7	3	1	+19	24
5	Leverkusen	12	6	4	2	+8	22
6	Ein Frankfurt	12	6	3	3	+11	21
7	Schalke 04	12	5	5	2	+0	20
8	Augsburg	12	5	3	4	+3	18
9	Union Berlin	11	6	0	5	+2	18
10	Wolfsburg	12	4	5	3	+3	17
11	Freiburg	11	5	2	4	+0	17
12	FC Koln	11	5	1	5	+1	16
13	Hoffenheim	13	5	1	7	-12	16
14	Mainz	12	4	1	7	-6	13
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	3	3	6	-10	12
16	Hertha	12	3	2	7	-14	11
17	Paderborn	12	2	1	9	-13	7
18	Werder Bremen	11	1	2	8	-18	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	8	2	2	+20	26
2	RB Leipzig	12	7	3	2	+17	24
3	Leverkusen	11	7	0	4	+3	21
4	M'gladbach	12	6	2	4	+5	20
5	Hoffenheim	11	5	3	3	+4	18
6	Dortmund	12	5	3	4	+3	18
7	Wolfsburg	11	5	2	4	+1	17
8	Schalke 04	11	4	4	3	+0	16
9	Hertha	12	4	4	4	-2	16
10	Freiburg	13	4	4	5	-3	16
11	Werder Bremen	12	3	3	6	-10	12
12	Mainz	12	4	0	8	-13	12
13	Union Berlin	12	3	2	7	-9	11
14	FC Koln	11	3	1	7	-10	10
15	Paderborn	12	2	3	7	-10	9
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	2	3	7	-13	9
17	Augsburg	12	2	3	7	-17	9
18	Ein Frankfurt	11	2	1	8	-10	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.