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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero
Leganes
S T S U U
1–0
Full-time
Alaves
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Leganes Alaves
23′
🟨 Mubarak Wakaso
1–0 Gabriel
24′
Half-time 1–0
62′
🔁 Óscar Romero
↦ Rubén Sobrino
63′
🔁 Tomás Pina
↦ M. Wakaso
Erik Morán 🔁
↦ Omar Ramos
65′
N. El Zhar 🔁
↦ Eraso
70′
75′
🔁 Litri
↦ Alfonso Pedraza
Bustinza 🔁
↦ Joseba Zaldúa
80′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Leganes

4-2-3-1
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
19 E. Muñoz D
5 M. Mantovani D
20 Joseba Zaldúa D
15 Diego Rico D
23 Omar Ramos M
21 Rubén Pérez M
17 Eraso M
8 Gabriel M
11 A. Szymanowski M
9 Guerrero F
Bench (7)
4 Erik Morán
10 N. El Zhar
3 Bustinza
14 Raúl García
16 M. Dos Santos
25 N. Champagne
27 Rocha Miramar

Coach: Asier Garitano

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Fernando Pacheco G
4 Alexis D
12 Rodrigo Ely D
2 Carlos Vigaray D
22 M. Wakaso M
19 Manu García M
11 Ibai Gómez M
14 Burgui M
17 Alfonso Pedraza M
9 C. Santos F
7 Rubén Sobrino F
Bench (7)
10 Óscar Romero
18 Tomás Pina
20 Litri
6 G. Maripán
13 Antonio Sivera
16 D. Torres
21 E. Fernández

Coach: L. Zubeldía

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jose Luis Munuera Montero · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.