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La Liga
Referee: Adrián Cordero
Valencia
S S T U T
2–1
Full-time
Betis
T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 34%
40%
28%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
48%
64%
Both score Ø 70%
64%
76%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%
10 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 7
6 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 8. · Betis 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 25 17 4 4 +33 55
2 Real Madrid 25 15 8 2 +29 53
3 Sociedad 25 13 4 8 +12 43
4 Ath Madrid 25 11 10 4 +10 43
5 Sevilla 25 12 7 6 +9 43
6 Getafe 25 12 6 7 +11 42
7 Villarreal 25 11 5 9 +8 38
8 Valencia 25 10 8 7 -2 38
9 Granada 25 11 3 11 +1 36
10 Levante 26 10 2 14 -8 32
11 Ath Bilbao 25 7 10 8 +2 31
12 Osasuna 25 7 10 8 -4 31
13 Betis 25 7 9 9 -5 30
14 Alaves 25 8 6 11 -8 30
15 Valladolid 26 6 11 9 -7 29
16 Eibar 25 7 6 12 -12 27
17 Celta 25 5 9 11 -12 24
18 Mallorca 25 6 4 15 -16 22
19 Leganes 25 4 7 14 -19 19
20 Espanol 25 4 7 14 -22 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Betis
32′
🟨 Álex Moreno
Geoffrey Kondogbia 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
Gonçalo Guedes 🔁
↦ M. Gómez
46′
1–0 K. Gameiro
Gonçalo Guedes
60′
72′
🔁 Tello
↦ Joaquín
72′
🔁 Aleñà
↦ Edgar González
D. Cheryshev 🔁
↦ K. Gameiro
74′
76′
🟨 Emerson
80′
🟨 Andrés Guardado
82′
🔁 Loren Morón
↦ A. Guardado
José Luis Gayà 🟨
87′
Sobrino 🔁
↦ Ferran Torres
88′
2–0 Dani Parejo
D. Wass
89′
93′
Loren Morón 2–1
N. Fekir
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Valencia

4-4-2
13 Jasper Cillessen G
18 Daniel Wass D
5 Gabriel Paulista D
12 Mouctar Diakhaby D
14 José Luis Gayà D
20 Ferrán Torres M
10 Dani Parejo M
6 Geoffrey Kondogbia M
8 Carlos Soler M
9 Kévin Gameiro F
22 Maximiliano Gómez F
Bench (7)
1 Jaume Doménech
33 Hugo Guillamón
25 Alessandro Florenzi
7 Gonçalo Guedes
11 Denis Cheryshev
16 Kang-in Lee
23 Rubén Sobrino

Coach: Celades

Betis

4-1-4-1
1 Joel Robles G
22 Emerson D
23 Aïssa Mandi D
12 Sidnei D
15 Álex Moreno D
32 Edgar Gonzalez M
8 Nabil Fekir M
10 Sergio Canales M
18 Andrés Guardado M
17 Joaquín M
9 Borja Iglesias F
Bench (7)
13 Dani Martín
4 Zouhair Feddal
19 Antonio Barragán
21 Guido Rodríguez
24 Carles Aleñá
16 Loren Moron
11 Cristian Tello

Coach: Rubí

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,21
U
3,40
B
3,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.