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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Ath Madrid
U S S S T
0–0
Full-time
Leganes
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 30%
45%
15%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
20%
45%
Both score Ø 45%
40%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ath Madrid 4. · Leganes 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 21 13 4 4 +25 43
2 Real Madrid 20 12 7 1 +25 43
3 Sevilla 21 11 5 5 +7 38
4 Ath Madrid 20 9 8 3 +8 35
5 Valencia 21 9 7 5 +3 34
6 Getafe 20 9 6 5 +9 33
7 Villarreal 21 9 4 8 +7 31
8 Ath Bilbao 21 7 10 4 +7 31
9 Sociedad 20 9 4 7 +5 31
10 Osasuna 21 6 10 5 +3 28
11 Betis 20 7 6 7 -3 27
12 Granada 21 8 3 10 -3 27
13 Levante 21 8 2 11 -6 26
14 Alaves 21 6 5 10 -9 23
15 Valladolid 20 4 10 6 -6 22
16 Eibar 20 6 4 10 -9 22
17 Mallorca 20 5 3 12 -12 18
18 Celta 20 3 7 10 -13 16
19 Espanol 21 3 6 12 -21 15
20 Leganes 20 3 5 12 -17 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Leganes
11′
🟨 Chidozie Awaziem
Half-time 0–0
Vitolo 🔁
↦ Llorente
46′
54′
🟨 Javier Eraso
61′
🔁 Aitor Ruibal
↦ Eraso
H. Herrera 🔁
↦ Á. Correa
62′
76′
🟨 Iván Cuéllar
78′
🔁 G. Carrillo
↦ Kévin Rodrigues
I. Šaponjić 🔁
↦ Š. Vrsaljko
88′
89′
🟨 Roque Mesa
Stefan Savić 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Iván Cuéllar
90′
🟨 Recio
90′
🟥 Iván Cuéllar
90′
🔁 Óscar Rodríguez
↦ M. Braithwaite
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-3-3
13 Jan Oblak G
24 Šime Vrsaljko D
15 Stefan Savić D
18 Felipe D
12 Renan Lodi D
5 Thomas Partey M
14 Marcos Llorente M
8 Saúl Ñíguez M
10 Ángel Correa F
9 Álvaro Morata F
7 João Félix F
Bench (7)
1 Antonio Adán
22 Mario Hermoso
35 Manuel Sánchez
20 Vitolo
16 Héctor Herrera
32 Rodrigo Riquelme
17 Ivan Šaponjić

Coach: D. Simeone

Leganes

5-4-1
1 Iván Cuéllar G
16 Roberto Rosales D
12 Chidozie Awaziem D
4 Kenneth Omeruo D
3 Unai Bustinza D
5 Jonathan Silva D
17 Javier Eraso M
8 Recio M
6 Roque Mesa M
24 Kevin Rodrigues M
7 Martin Braithwaite F
Bench (7)
13 Juan Soriano
2 Marc Navarro
15 Rodrigo Tarín
29 Aymane Mourid
27 Óscar Rodríguez
19 Aitor Ruibal
18 Guido Carrillo

Coach: J. Aguirre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,45
U ✓
4,13
B
8,73
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,31
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.