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Pro League
Referee: Bram Van Driessche
Waregem
S T T T U
2–2
Full-time
Kortrijk
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 36%
39%
32%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
58%
65%
Both score Ø 52%
42%
61%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

9 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 7
6 Corners 4
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 9. · Kortrijk 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 31 23 7 1 +47 76
2 Gent 30 18 7 5 +32 61
3 Charleroi 31 16 10 5 +28 58
4 Standard 31 16 7 8 +21 55
5 Antwerp 30 15 8 7 +19 53
6 Mechelen 32 16 5 11 +10 53
7 Genk 31 15 6 10 +10 51
8 Anderlecht 32 12 12 8 +13 48
9 Waregem 31 12 6 13 +4 42
10 St Truiden 32 10 6 16 -17 36
11 Kortrijk 31 10 5 16 -7 35
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 27 8 9 10 -2 33
13 Mouscron 28 8 9 11 -3 33
14 Eupen 31 9 6 16 -24 33
15 Cercle Brugge 31 8 4 19 -25 28
16 Oostende 31 6 5 20 -30 23
17 Waasland-Beveren 28 5 5 18 -38 20
18 Beveren 28 5 5 18 -38 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Kortrijk
Sandy Walsh 🟨
11′
20′
🟨 Timothy Derijck
1–0 G. Bruno ⚽
30′
2–0 D. De fauw ⚽
43′
Half-time 2–1
50′
⚽ T. Moffi 2–1
E. Makarenko
60′
🔁 J. Stojanović
↦ C. Lepoint
J. Dompé 🔁
↦ S. Berahino
72′
E. Pletinckx 🔁
↦ D. De fauw
77′
82′
🔁 H. Guèye
↦ L. Azouni
N. Kainourgios 🔁
↦ G. Bruno
88′
Gideon Mensah 🟨
90′
90′
🔁 E. Ocansey
↦ T. Moffi
94′
⚽ Tuta 2–2
K. D'Haene
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Waregem

4-4-2
44 E. Bansen G
2 D. De fauw D
45 O. Deschacht D
14 S. Walsh D
4 G. Mensah M
5 D. Marcq M
6 A. Sissako M
22 J. Vossen F
19 G. Bruno F
38 S. Berahino F
9 C. Larin F
Bench (7)
17 J. Dompé
24 E. Pletinckx
43 N. Kainourgios
11 B. Srarfi
67 J. Van Hecke
10 O. Govea
25 L. Bostyn

Coach: F. Dury

Kortrijk

4-3-3
21 A. Jakubech G
76 T. Derijck
15 C. Lepoint M
30 K. D'Haene D
2 P. Golubović D
35 Tuta D
25 E. Makarenko M
23 J. De Sart M
5 L. Azouni M
7 I. Mboyo F
20 T. Moffi F
Bench (7)
11 J. Stojanović
17 H. Guèye
51 E. Ocansey
55 V. Kovačević
1 S. Bruzzese
10 H. Kage
6 L. Rougeaux

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
U ✓
3,56
B
2,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,25
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Bram Van Driessche · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.