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LaLiga2

Malaga

U S U U T

2–1

Full-time

Numancia

T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Numancia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — LaLiga2 · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 27%

19%

35%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 23%

19%

27%

Both score Ø 40%

38%

42%

Average goals

1,7

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

20 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 1

7 Corners 2

14 Free kicks against 23

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 19. · Numancia 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	27	15	7	5	+13	52
2	Almeria	27	12	10	5	+17	46
3	Zaragoza	26	12	8	6	+11	44
4	Huesca	27	13	4	10	+6	43
5	Girona	27	12	5	10	+3	41
6	Elche	27	10	10	7	+7	40
7	Fuenlabrada	27	9	11	7	+3	38
8	Numancia	26	9	10	7	+5	37
9	Ponferradina	27	8	12	7	+4	36
10	Mirandes	26	8	12	6	-1	36
11	Vallecano	26	7	14	5	+5	35
12	Las Palmas	27	9	8	10	-1	35
13	Alcorcon	27	7	13	7	+0	34
14	La Coruna	27	8	9	10	-12	33
15	Tenerife	27	8	8	11	-1	32
16	Sp Gijon	27	8	8	11	-4	32
17	Oviedo	27	6	11	10	-6	29
18	Albacete	26	8	5	13	-13	29
19	Malaga	26	5	13	8	-3	28
20	Extremadura UD	27	6	8	13	-13	26
21	Lugo	27	5	11	11	-14	26
22	Santander	27	3	15	9	-6	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huesca	13	10	1	2	+12	31
2	Girona	14	9	3	2	+9	30
3	Cadiz	13	8	4	1	+10	28
4	Ponferradina	14	6	7	1	+10	25
5	Zaragoza	14	7	4	3	+9	25
6	Numancia	14	7	4	3	+8	25
7	Almeria	13	7	2	4	+8	23
8	Mirandes	13	5	7	1	+6	22
9	Sp Gijon	14	6	4	4	+5	22
10	Vallecano	13	5	6	2	+4	21
11	Fuenlabrada	13	5	6	2	+4	21
12	Las Palmas	14	5	4	5	+1	19
13	La Coruna	13	5	4	4	-2	19
14	Elche	13	4	6	3	+3	18
15	Oviedo	13	3	8	2	+1	17
16	Tenerife	13	4	5	4	+0	17
17	Lugo	14	4	5	5	-7	17
18	Malaga	12	3	7	2	+2	16
19	Alcorcon	14	4	3	7	-5	15
20	Santander	13	2	8	3	+2	14
21	Extremadura UD	14	3	4	7	-6	13
22	Albacete	13	3	4	6	-6	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	14	7	3	4	+3	24
2	Almeria	14	5	8	1	+9	23
3	Elche	14	6	4	4	+4	22
4	Alcorcon	13	3	10	0	+5	19
5	Zaragoza	12	5	4	3	+2	19
6	Fuenlabrada	14	4	5	5	-1	17
7	Las Palmas	13	4	4	5	-2	16
8	Albacete	13	5	1	7	-7	16
9	Tenerife	14	4	3	7	-1	15
10	Vallecano	13	2	8	3	+1	14
11	Mirandes	13	3	5	5	-7	14
12	La Coruna	14	3	5	6	-10	14
13	Extremadura UD	13	3	4	6	-7	13
14	Numancia	12	2	6	4	-3	12
15	Malaga	14	2	6	6	-5	12
16	Huesca	14	3	3	8	-6	12
17	Oviedo	14	3	3	8	-7	12
18	Ponferradina	13	2	5	6	-6	11
19	Girona	13	3	2	8	-6	11
20	Santander	14	1	7	6	-8	10
21	Sp Gijon	13	2	4	7	-9	10
22	Lugo	13	1	6	6	-7	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.