La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Celta
Mallorca
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | +23 | 35 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +21 | 34 |
| 3 |
Sevilla
|
16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 31 |
| 4 |
Getafe
|
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | +10 | 30 |
| 5 |
Ath Madrid
|
17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | +8 | 29 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | +8 | 28 |
| 7 |
Ath Bilbao
|
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | +7 | 27 |
| 8 |
Valencia
|
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 26 |
| 9 |
Granada
|
17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | +2 | 24 |
| 10 |
Osasuna
|
17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | +2 | 23 |
| 11 |
Levante
|
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 |
Betis
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 22 |
| 13 |
Villarreal
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | +4 | 19 |
| 14 |
Alaves
|
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -6 | 19 |
| 15 |
Valladolid
|
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 |
Eibar
|
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 17 |
Mallorca
|
16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -12 | 14 |
| 18 |
Celta
|
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -11 | 13 |
| 19 |
Leganes
|
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | -16 | 10 |
| 20 |
Espanol
|
16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | -20 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Stanislav Lobotka
M
Iago Aspas
F
Coach: Óscar García
Fran Gámez
D
Martin Valjent
D
Raillo
D
Takefusa Kubo
M
Dani Rodriguez
M
Aleix Febas
F
Ante Budimir
F
Coach: Vicente Moreno
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Leganes
Celta
Celta
Valladolid
Villarreal
Celta
Barcelona
Celta
Celta
Getafe
Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.