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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Celta
T T S U T
2–2
Full-time
Mallorca
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Mallorca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 22%
19%
25%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
31%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
44%
44%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

66% Possession 34%
18 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Celta 18. · Mallorca 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 16 11 2 3 +23 35
2 Real Madrid 15 10 4 1 +21 34
3 Sevilla 16 9 4 3 +5 31
4 Getafe 17 8 6 3 +10 30
5 Ath Madrid 17 7 8 2 +8 29
6 Sociedad 17 8 4 5 +8 28
7 Ath Bilbao 17 7 6 4 +7 27
8 Valencia 16 7 5 4 +3 26
9 Granada 17 7 3 7 +2 24
10 Osasuna 17 5 8 4 +2 23
11 Levante 17 7 2 8 -4 23
12 Betis 16 6 4 6 -5 22
13 Villarreal 16 5 4 7 +4 19
14 Alaves 17 5 4 8 -6 19
15 Valladolid 17 4 7 6 -6 19
16 Eibar 17 4 4 9 -13 16
17 Mallorca 16 4 2 10 -12 14
18 Celta 16 3 4 9 -11 13
19 Leganes 17 2 4 11 -16 10
20 Espanol 16 2 3 11 -20 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Mallorca
1–0 Rafinha
L. Olaza
20′
Joseph Aidoo 🟨
33′
33′
Salva Sevilla 1–1
45′
🟨 Ante Budimir
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 J. Hernández
↦ Febas
2–1 Iago Aspas
50′
Néstor Araujo 🟨
57′
62′
🔁 J. Lago
↦ Salva Sevilla
65′
🟨 Raillo
Santi Mina 🔁
↦ Brais Méndez
66′
71′
🟨 Cucho Hernández
Santi Mina 🟨
74′
77′
🔁 P. Chavarría
↦ T. Kubo
78′
🟨 Raillo
78′
🟥 Raillo
79′
🟨 Manolo Reina
83′
A. Budimir 2–2
J. Hernández
Juan Hernández 🔁
↦ Kevin Vázquez
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Celta

4-2-3-1
13 Rubén Blanco G
20 Kevin Vazquez D
18 Joseph Aidoo D
4 Néstor Araujo D
15 Lucas Olaza D
5 Okay Yokuşlu M
14 Stanislav Lobotka M
23 Brais Méndez M
12 Rafinha Alcántara M
11 Pione Sisto M
10 Iago Aspas F
Bench (7)
27 Francisco Vieites
2 Hugo Mallo
3 David Costas
24 Pape Cheikh
8 Fran Beltran
22 Santi Mina
7 Juan Hernández García

Coach: Óscar García

Mallorca

4-4-1-1
1 Manolo Reina G
15 Fran Gámez D
24 Martin Valjent D
21 Raillo D
3 Lumor Agbenyenu D
26 Takefusa Kubo M
12 Iddrisu Baba M
8 Salva Sevilla M
14 Dani Rodriguez M
23 Aleix Febas F
22 Ante Budimir F
Bench (7)
13 Fabri
2 Joan Sastre
5 Francisco Javier Campos
4 Josep Señé
29 Cucho Hernández
19 Pablo Chavarria
11 Lago Júnior

Coach: Vicente Moreno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,69
U ✓
3,76
B
5,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,08
U2,5
1,75
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.