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Bundesliga

Referee: D Siebert

Paderborn

T S U T S

1–4

Full-time

Leverkusen

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Leverkusen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 33%

18%

47%

Points per game

0,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

65%

53%

Both score Ø 56%

65%

47%

Average goals

3,3

2,6

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

2,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

36% Possession 64%

13 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 18. · Leverkusen 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	18	12	4	2	+30	40
2	Bayern Munich	18	11	3	4	+28	36
3	M'gladbach	18	11	2	5	+13	35
4	Dortmund	18	9	6	3	+19	33
5	Schalke 04	18	9	6	3	+10	33
6	Freiburg	18	8	5	5	+5	29
7	Leverkusen	17	8	4	5	+2	28
8	Hoffenheim	18	8	3	7	-4	27
9	Wolfsburg	18	6	6	6	-2	24
10	Augsburg	18	6	5	7	-5	23
11	Ein Frankfurt	18	6	3	9	-1	21
12	Union Berlin	18	6	2	10	-6	20
13	FC Koln	18	6	2	10	-11	20
14	Hertha	18	5	4	9	-11	19
15	Mainz	18	6	0	12	-15	18
16	Werder Bremen	18	4	5	9	-17	17
17	Fortuna Dusseldorf	18	4	3	11	-19	15
18	Paderborn	17	3	3	11	-16	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	9	7	1	1	+12	22
2	RB Leipzig	9	6	2	1	+16	20
3	Bayern Munich	9	6	1	2	+19	19
4	Schalke 04	10	5	4	1	+5	19
5	Dortmund	8	5	3	0	+17	18
6	Ein Frankfurt	9	4	3	2	+5	15
7	Union Berlin	9	5	0	4	+1	15
8	Augsburg	9	4	2	3	+3	14
9	Freiburg	8	4	2	2	+3	14
10	Leverkusen	9	3	4	2	+2	13
11	FC Koln	9	4	1	4	+0	13
12	Wolfsburg	9	3	4	2	+0	13
13	Hoffenheim	10	4	1	5	-6	13
14	Hertha	9	3	1	5	-7	10
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	3	1	5	-7	10
16	Mainz	9	3	0	6	-6	9
17	Paderborn	9	2	1	6	-7	7
18	Werder Bremen	8	1	2	5	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	9	6	2	1	+14	20
2	Bayern Munich	9	5	2	2	+9	17
3	Dortmund	10	4	3	3	+2	15
4	Freiburg	10	4	3	3	+2	15
5	Leverkusen	8	5	0	3	+0	15
6	Schalke 04	8	4	2	2	+5	14
7	Hoffenheim	8	4	2	2	+2	14
8	M'gladbach	9	4	1	4	+1	13
9	Werder Bremen	10	3	3	4	-6	12
10	Wolfsburg	9	3	2	4	-2	11
11	Hertha	9	2	3	4	-4	9
12	Augsburg	9	2	3	4	-8	9
13	Mainz	9	3	0	6	-9	9
14	FC Koln	9	2	1	6	-11	7
15	Ein Frankfurt	9	2	0	7	-6	6
16	Union Berlin	9	1	2	6	-7	5
17	Paderborn	8	1	2	5	-9	5
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	1	2	6	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.