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Serie A

Referee: P Giacomelli

Lecce

U T T T T

1–1

Full-time

Inter

U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Inter

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,2

This season — Serie A · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 45%

16%

74%

Points per game

0,8

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

63%

68%

Both score Ø 63%

63%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

1,2

2,1

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%

8 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 10

3 Blocked shots 6

8 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 14

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lecce 17. · Inter 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	19	15	3	1	+19	48
2	Inter	19	14	4	1	+24	46
3	Lazio	19	14	3	2	+28	45
4	Atalanta	19	10	5	4	+23	35
5	Roma	19	10	5	4	+13	35
6	Cagliari	19	8	5	6	+4	29
7	Parma	19	8	4	7	+1	28
8	Milan	20	8	4	8	-5	28
9	Torino	20	8	3	9	-2	27
10	Verona	18	7	4	7	+0	25
11	Napoli	20	6	6	8	+0	24
12	Fiorentina	20	6	6	8	-4	24
13	Udinese	20	7	3	10	-12	24
14	Bologna	19	6	5	8	-3	23
15	Sassuolo	20	6	4	10	-3	22
16	Sampdoria	20	5	4	11	-13	19
17	Lecce	19	3	6	10	-16	15
18	Genoa	19	3	5	11	-18	14
19	Brescia	19	4	2	13	-19	14
20	Spal	19	3	3	13	-17	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	10	8	2	0	+22	26
2	Juventus	9	8	1	0	+13	25
3	Inter	10	6	3	1	+11	21
4	Roma	10	5	2	3	+4	17
5	Udinese	10	5	2	3	+0	17
6	Atalanta	9	5	1	3	+14	16
7	Parma	10	5	1	4	+5	16
8	Cagliari	10	5	1	4	+4	16
9	Verona	10	4	3	3	+1	15
10	Torino	10	4	2	4	-2	14
11	Sassuolo	10	4	1	5	+2	13
12	Milan	10	3	4	3	-2	13
13	Bologna	9	3	3	3	+0	12
14	Sampdoria	10	3	3	4	-1	12
15	Fiorentina	10	3	3	4	-3	12
16	Napoli	10	3	2	5	-2	11
17	Genoa	9	3	1	5	-2	10
18	Spal	9	2	2	5	-5	8
19	Lecce	9	0	4	5	-7	4
20	Brescia	9	1	1	7	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	Juventus	10	7	2	1	+6	23
3	Atalanta	10	5	4	1	+9	19
4	Lazio	9	6	1	2	+6	19
5	Roma	9	5	3	1	+9	18
6	Milan	10	5	0	5	-3	15
7	Napoli	10	3	4	3	+2	13
8	Torino	10	4	1	5	+0	13
9	Cagliari	9	3	4	2	+0	13
10	Fiorentina	10	3	3	4	-1	12
11	Parma	9	3	3	3	-4	12
12	Bologna	10	3	2	5	-3	11
13	Lecce	10	3	2	5	-9	11
14	Verona	8	3	1	4	-1	10
15	Brescia	10	3	1	6	-9	10
16	Sassuolo	10	2	3	5	-5	9
17	Udinese	10	2	1	7	-12	7
18	Sampdoria	10	2	1	7	-12	7
19	Spal	10	1	1	8	-12	4
20	Genoa	10	0	4	6	-16	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.