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La Liga

Referee: José Sánchez

Leganes

T T U T T

3–2

Full-time

Celta

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 14%

20%

Points per game

0,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

40%

27%

Both score Ø 44%

47%

40%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

0,5

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

33% Possession 67%

15 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Leganes 20. · Celta 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	11	1	3	+23	34
2	Real Madrid	15	10	4	1	+21	34
3	Sevilla	15	9	3	3	+5	30
4	Sociedad	16	8	3	5	+8	27
5	Getafe	16	7	6	3	+8	27
6	Ath Bilbao	16	7	5	4	+7	26
7	Ath Madrid	16	6	8	2	+6	26
8	Valencia	16	7	5	4	+3	26
9	Granada	16	7	3	6	+3	24
10	Osasuna	15	5	7	3	+4	22
11	Betis	16	6	4	6	-5	22
12	Levante	16	6	2	8	-5	20
13	Villarreal	16	5	4	7	+4	19
14	Valladolid	16	4	7	5	-4	19
15	Alaves	16	5	3	8	-6	18
16	Eibar	16	4	3	9	-13	15
17	Mallorca	16	4	2	10	-12	14
18	Celta	15	3	4	8	-10	13
19	Espanol	16	2	3	11	-20	9
20	Leganes	15	1	3	11	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+21	21
2	Real Madrid	8	6	2	0	+14	20
3	Ath Bilbao	8	6	1	1	+10	19
4	Betis	9	5	2	2	+4	17
5	Valencia	8	4	4	0	+6	16
6	Granada	8	5	1	2	+6	16
7	Getafe	8	4	3	1	+8	15
8	Ath Madrid	8	4	3	1	+5	15
9	Alaves	8	4	2	2	+6	14
10	Sevilla	7	4	2	1	+4	14
11	Levante	8	4	2	2	+3	14
12	Mallorca	9	4	2	3	+2	14
13	Sociedad	7	4	1	2	+8	13
14	Villarreal	8	3	4	1	+7	13
15	Osasuna	7	3	3	1	+4	12
16	Valladolid	7	2	4	1	+4	10
17	Eibar	8	3	0	5	-7	9
18	Celta	8	2	2	4	-4	8
19	Leganes	8	1	1	6	-7	4
20	Espanol	8	0	1	7	-13	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	8	5	1	2	+1	16
2	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+7	14
3	Sociedad	9	4	2	3	+0	14
4	Barcelona	8	4	1	3	+2	13
5	Getafe	8	3	3	2	+0	12
6	Ath Madrid	8	2	5	1	+1	11
7	Osasuna	8	2	4	2	+0	10
8	Valencia	8	3	1	4	-3	10
9	Valladolid	9	2	3	4	-8	9
10	Granada	8	2	2	4	-3	8
11	Espanol	8	2	2	4	-7	8
12	Ath Bilbao	8	1	4	3	-3	7
13	Villarreal	8	2	0	6	-3	6
14	Eibar	8	1	3	4	-6	6
15	Levante	8	2	0	6	-8	6
16	Celta	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	Betis	7	1	2	4	-9	5
18	Alaves	8	1	1	6	-12	4
19	Leganes	7	0	2	5	-10	2
20	Mallorca	7	0	0	7	-14	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.