Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Tenerife
Girona
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cadiz
|
24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | +11 | 45 |
| 2 |
Almeria
|
23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | +19 | 42 |
| 3 |
Huesca
|
24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | +8 | 40 |
| 4 |
Zaragoza
|
23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 39 |
| 5 |
Fuenlabrada
|
24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 37 |
| 6 |
Numancia
|
24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 36 |
| 7 |
Girona
|
23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | +2 | 34 |
| 8 |
Las Palmas
|
24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | +1 | 34 |
| 9 |
Elche
|
24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | +3 | 33 |
| 10 |
Mirandes
|
23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | -1 | 33 |
| 11 |
Vallecano
|
23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | +5 | 32 |
| 12 |
Ponferradina
|
24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | +4 | 32 |
| 13 |
Alcorcon
|
24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | -1 | 30 |
| 14 |
Sp Gijon
|
24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -4 | 28 |
| 15 |
Albacete
|
23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | -10 | 28 |
| 16 |
Malaga
|
24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | -1 | 27 |
| 17 |
Lugo
|
24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 |
Oviedo
|
24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 |
La Coruna
|
24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | -15 | 24 |
| 20 |
Tenerife
|
23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -5 | 22 |
| 21 | Extremadura UD | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -11 | 22 |
| 22 |
Santander
|
24 | 2 | 14 | 8 | -6 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Huesca
Tenerife
Tenerife
Albacete
La Coruna
Tenerife
Tenerife
Alcorcon
Malaga
Tenerife
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.