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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande

Ath Bilbao

S U T S T

1–1

Full-time

Celta

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 33%

28%

38%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

28%

69%

Both score Ø 52%

41%

62%

Average goals

2,1

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

12 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 5

5 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 13. · Celta 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	29	23	6	0	+61	75
2	Ath Madrid	29	19	7	3	+35	64
3	Real Madrid	29	18	6	5	+40	60
4	Valencia	29	18	5	6	+26	59
5	Villarreal	29	14	5	10	+7	47
6	Sevilla	29	14	3	12	-7	45
7	Girona	30	12	8	10	+1	44
8	Betis	29	13	4	12	-4	43
9	Getafe	29	10	9	10	+8	39
10	Celta	29	11	6	12	+3	39
11	Eibar	29	11	6	12	-7	39
12	Leganes	29	10	6	13	-10	36
13	Ath Bilbao	29	8	11	10	-4	35
14	Espanol	29	8	11	10	-11	35
15	Sociedad	29	9	6	14	-1	33
16	Alaves	29	10	1	18	-19	31
17	Levante	30	5	13	12	-18	28
18	Las Palmas	29	5	6	18	-37	21
19	La Coruna	29	4	8	17	-34	20
20	Malaga	29	3	5	21	-29	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	12	2	0	+34	38
2	Valencia	15	11	2	2	+19	35
3	Ath Madrid	14	10	4	0	+20	34
4	Real Madrid	15	10	2	3	+27	32
5	Getafe	15	8	3	4	+14	27
6	Girona	15	8	3	4	+11	27
7	Sevilla	14	8	3	3	+6	27
8	Villarreal	14	8	2	4	+10	26
9	Espanol	15	7	4	4	+2	25
10	Eibar	15	7	3	5	+8	24
11	Leganes	14	7	3	4	+2	24
12	Betis	15	7	3	5	+0	24
13	Celta	14	6	5	3	+5	23
14	Ath Bilbao	14	5	7	2	+5	22
15	Alaves	15	7	1	7	-4	22
16	Sociedad	15	6	3	6	+7	21
17	Levante	15	3	6	6	-7	15
18	La Coruna	15	3	5	7	-8	14
19	Las Palmas	14	4	2	8	-13	14
20	Malaga	14	2	3	9	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	11	4	0	+27	37
2	Ath Madrid	15	9	3	3	+15	30
3	Real Madrid	14	8	4	2	+13	28
4	Valencia	14	7	3	4	+7	24
5	Villarreal	15	6	3	6	-3	21
6	Betis	14	6	1	7	-4	19
7	Sevilla	15	6	0	9	-13	18
8	Girona	15	4	5	6	-10	17
9	Celta	15	5	1	9	-2	16
10	Eibar	14	4	3	7	-15	15
11	Ath Bilbao	15	3	4	8	-9	13
12	Levante	15	2	7	6	-11	13
13	Getafe	14	2	6	6	-6	12
14	Sociedad	14	3	3	8	-8	12
15	Leganes	15	3	3	9	-12	12
16	Espanol	14	1	7	6	-13	10
17	Alaves	14	3	0	11	-15	9
18	Las Palmas	15	1	4	10	-24	7
19	La Coruna	14	1	3	10	-26	6
20	Malaga	15	1	2	12	-18	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.