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Süper Lig
Referee: Y Uğurlu
Galatasaray
U S U T S
2–1
Full-time
Denizlispor
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Denizlispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Süper Lig · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 38%
41%
35%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
29%
35%
Both score Ø 44%
41%
47%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%
19 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 9
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Galatasaray 7. · Denizlispor 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sivasspor 17 11 4 2 +19 37
2 Buyuksehyr 18 10 6 2 +18 36
3 Fenerbahce 18 10 4 4 +15 34
4 Alanyaspor 18 9 5 4 +19 32
5 Trabzonspor 17 9 5 3 +16 32
6 Besiktas 17 9 3 5 +5 30
7 Galatasaray 17 7 6 4 +8 27
8 Goztep 18 7 5 6 +2 26
9 Yeni Malatyaspor 18 6 6 6 +7 24
10 Gaziantep 18 6 6 6 -4 24
11 Denizlispor 17 6 4 7 -4 22
12 Rizespor 17 6 2 9 -10 20
13 Genclerbirligi 17 4 6 7 -4 18
14 Konyaspor 18 4 6 8 -8 18
15 Kasimpasa 17 4 3 10 -8 15
16 Antalyaspor 18 3 5 10 -21 14
17 Ankaragücü 18 2 6 10 -20 12
18 Kayserispor 18 2 4 12 -30 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,30
U
5,25
B
9,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,38
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Y Uğurlu · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.