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La Liga
Referee: Adrián Cordero
Mallorca
T T S S T
2–2
Full-time
Osasuna
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Osasuna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
30%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
20%
30%
Both score Ø 35%
20%
50%
Average goals
2,0
1,9
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mallorca 16. · Osasuna 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 10 7 1 2 +17 22
2 Real Madrid 10 6 3 1 +12 21
3 Granada 10 6 2 2 +7 20
4 Ath Madrid 11 5 5 1 +5 20
5 Sevilla 11 6 2 3 +2 20
6 Sociedad 11 6 1 4 +6 19
7 Villarreal 10 5 2 3 +10 17
8 Ath Bilbao 11 4 4 3 +4 16
9 Osasuna 10 3 5 2 +1 14
10 Levante 11 4 2 5 -1 14
11 Valencia 11 3 5 3 -2 14
12 Valladolid 11 3 5 3 -3 14
13 Getafe 10 3 4 3 +0 13
14 Alaves 11 3 3 5 -5 12
15 Betis 11 3 3 5 -7 12
16 Mallorca 10 3 1 6 -6 10
17 Eibar 10 2 3 5 -5 9
18 Celta 11 2 3 6 -8 9
19 Espanol 11 2 2 7 -13 8
20 Leganes 11 1 2 8 -14 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mallorca Osasuna
15′
🟨 Brandon
1–0 J. Lago
21′
34′
🟨 Pervis Estupinan
Half-time 1–0
53′
🟨 David García
Iddrisu Baba 🟨
55′
62′
🔁 Fran Mérida
↦ Roberto Torres
63′
🟨 Aridane Hernandez
Y. Salibur 🔁
↦ J. Lago
64′
69′
Cardona 1–1
D. Brašanac
75′
🟨 Facundo Roncaglia
2–1 Salva Sevilla
75′
A. Trajkovski 🔁
↦ Febas
76′
77′
Rubén García 2–2
P. Estupiñán
78′
🔁 Luis Perea
↦ Brandon
Abdón Prats 🔁
↦ Dani Rodríguez
81′
89′
🔁 E. Ávila
↦ Cardona
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Mallorca

4-3-3
1 Manolo Reina G
15 Fran Gámez D
24 Martin Valjent D
21 Raillo D
3 Lumor Agbenyenu D
8 Salva Sevilla M
12 Iddrisu Baba M
23 Aleix Febas M
11 Lago Júnior F
22 Ante Budimir F
14 Dani Rodriguez F
Bench (7)
13 Fabri
5 Francisco Javier Campos
6 Marc Pedraza
17 Aleksandar Trajkovski
26 Takefusa Kubo
16 Yannis Salibur
9 Abdón Prats

Coach: Vicente Moreno

Osasuna

4-4-2
13 Rubén Martínez G
12 Facundo Roncaglia D
23 Aridane Hernandez D
5 David García D
30 Pervis Estupinan D
10 Roberto Torres M
27 Jon Moncayola M
20 Darko Brašanac M
14 Rubén García M
7 Marc Cardona F
11 Brandon F
Bench (7)
1 Sergio Herrera
16 Lillo Castellano
8 Fran Mérida
21 Iñigo Pérez
28 Luis Perea
9 Chimy Ávila
18 Juan Villar

Coach: Arrasate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,53
U ✓
3,01
B
3,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,59
U2,5
1,49
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.