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La Liga

Referee: Santiago Jaime

Real Madrid

U S S S U

4–2

Full-time

Granada

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Granada

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,2

This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 57%

57%

Points per game

2,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

43%

29%

Both score Ø 43%

57%

29%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,9

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

62% Possession 38%

17 Shots 8

10 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 1. · Granada 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	4	3	0	+6	15
2	Granada	7	4	2	1	+7	14
3	Ath Madrid	7	4	2	1	+3	14
4	Barcelona	7	4	1	2	+6	13
5	Sociedad	7	4	1	2	+5	13
6	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+3	13
7	Ath Bilbao	7	3	3	1	+4	12
8	Villarreal	7	3	2	2	+7	11
9	Levante	8	3	2	3	+0	11
10	Eibar	8	2	3	3	+0	9
11	Valencia	7	2	3	2	-1	9
12	Valladolid	7	2	3	2	-1	9
13	Betis	8	2	3	3	-5	9
14	Osasuna	7	1	5	1	-1	8
15	Alaves	7	2	2	3	-3	8
16	Getafe	7	1	4	2	-1	7
17	Celta	7	1	3	3	-5	6
18	Espanol	7	1	2	4	-8	5
19	Mallorca	7	1	1	5	-8	4
20	Leganes	8	0	2	6	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Ath Bilbao	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Villarreal	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	Levante	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Betis	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Alaves	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Valencia	4	1	3	0	+2	6
11	Eibar	3	2	0	1	+2	6
12	Granada	3	2	0	1	+2	6
13	Getafe	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Sevilla	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Mallorca	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Celta	4	1	1	2	-3	4
17	Osasuna	3	0	3	0	+0	3
18	Valladolid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
19	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-6	1
20	Espanol	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	4	3	0	1	+3	9
2	Granada	4	2	2	0	+5	8
3	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Sociedad	5	2	1	2	+0	7
5	Valladolid	5	2	1	2	-1	7
6	Ath Madrid	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Espanol	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Osasuna	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Barcelona	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Villarreal	3	1	0	2	+1	3
11	Ath Bilbao	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Eibar	5	0	3	2	-2	3
13	Levante	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Valencia	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Getafe	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Celta	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Leganes	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Alaves	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Betis	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Mallorca	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.