Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bayern Munich
Ein Frankfurt
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | +46 | +38.0 | 55 |
| 2 |
Leverkusen
|
23 | 14 | 8 | 1 | +24 | +20.9 | 50 |
| 3 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | +20 | +11.1 | 42 |
| 4 |
Freiburg
|
23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | -2 | +0.8 | 39 |
| 5 |
Mainz
|
23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | +13 | +1.4 | 38 |
| 6 |
RB Leipzig
|
23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | +7 | -5.1 | 38 |
| 7 |
Stuttgart
|
22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +7 | +8.1 | 35 |
| 8 |
Wolfsburg
|
23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | +9 | -1.2 | 34 |
| 9 |
M'gladbach
|
23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | +0 | -5.3 | 34 |
| 10 |
Dortmund
|
23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +5 | +9.3 | 32 |
| 11 |
Augsburg
|
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | -8 | -8.1 | 31 |
| 12 |
Werder Bremen
|
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | -12 | -3.0 | 30 |
| 13 |
Union Berlin
|
23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | -14 | -6.3 | 24 |
| 14 |
St Pauli
|
23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | -9 | -6.8 | 21 |
| 15 |
Hoffenheim
|
22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -16 | -10.2 | 21 |
| 16 |
Heidenheim
|
23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | -20 | -10.4 | 15 |
| 17 |
Bochum
|
23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | -25 | -17.1 | 15 |
| 18 |
Holstein Kiel
|
23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | -25 | -16.2 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Neuer
G
K. Laimer
D
E. Dier
D
Kim Min-Jae
D
H. Ito
D
J. Kimmich
M
A. Pavlović
M
M. Olise
M
J. Musiala
M
L. Sané
M
Coach: V. Kompany
K. Trapp
G
R. Kristensen
D
A. Theate
D
N. Collins
M
H. Larsson
M
O. Højlund
M
A. Knauff
M
J. Bahoya
F
C. Uzun
F
Coach: D. Toppmöller
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Bayern Munich
Celtic
Leverkusen
Bayern Munich
Celtic
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Werder Bremen
Bayern Munich
Holstein Kiel
S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.