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Bundesliga
Referee: S Stegemann
Bayern Munich
S S S U U
4–0
Full-time
Ein Frankfurt
U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Ein Frankfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 66%
77%
55%
Points per game
2,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
73%
64%
Both score Ø 62%
50%
73%
Average goals
3,8
3,5
Scored
3,0
2,2
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,1
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

4,01 xG 0,53
64% Possession 36%
19 Shots 7
12 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bayern Munich 1. · Ein Frankfurt 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 22 17 4 1 +46 +38.0 55
2 Leverkusen 23 14 8 1 +24 +20.9 50
3 Ein Frankfurt 22 12 6 4 +20 +11.1 42
4 Freiburg 23 12 3 8 -2 +0.8 39
5 Mainz 23 11 5 7 +13 +1.4 38
6 RB Leipzig 23 10 8 5 +7 -5.1 38
7 Stuttgart 22 10 5 7 +7 +8.1 35
8 Wolfsburg 23 9 7 7 +9 -1.2 34
9 M'gladbach 23 10 4 9 +0 -5.3 34
10 Dortmund 23 9 5 9 +5 +9.3 32
11 Augsburg 23 8 7 8 -8 -8.1 31
12 Werder Bremen 23 8 6 9 -12 -3.0 30
13 Union Berlin 23 6 6 11 -14 -6.3 24
14 St Pauli 23 6 3 14 -9 -6.8 21
15 Hoffenheim 22 5 6 11 -16 -10.2 21
16 Heidenheim 23 4 3 16 -20 -10.4 15
17 Bochum 23 3 6 14 -25 -17.1 15
18 Holstein Kiel 23 3 4 16 -25 -16.2 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bayern Munich Ein Frankfurt
L. Goretzka 🔁
↦ J. Kimmich
43′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Skhiri
↦ O. Højlund
46′
🔁 E. Wahi
↦ C. Uzun
1–0 M. Olise
L. Sané
47′
2–0 H. Ito
61′
A. Davies 🔁
↦ H. Ito
63′
63′
🔁 M. Götze
↦ J. Bahoya
H. Kane 🔁
↦ T. Müller
64′
75′
🔁 M. Batshuayi
↦ H. Ekitiké
75′
🔁 N. Brown
↦ A. Knauff
Leroy Sané 🟨
77′
80′
🟨 Tuta
3–0 J. Musiala
82′
K. Coman 🔁
↦ M. Olise
85′
S. Gnabry 🔁
↦ J. Musiala
85′
4–0 S. Gnabry
K. Coman
92′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
27 K. Laimer D
15 E. Dier D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
21 H. Ito D
6 J. Kimmich M
45 A. Pavlović M
17 M. Olise M
42 J. Musiala M
10 L. Sané M
25 T. Müller F
Bench (9)
8 L. Goretzka
19 A. Davies
9 H. Kane
11 K. Coman
7 S. Gnabry
40 J. Urbig
23 S. Boey
16 João Palhinha
22 Raphaël Guerreiro

Coach: V. Kompany

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-2-1
1 K. Trapp G
13 R. Kristensen D
35 Tuta D
3 A. Theate D
34 N. Collins M
16 H. Larsson M
6 O. Højlund M
36 A. Knauff M
19 J. Bahoya F
20 C. Uzun F
11 H. Ekitiké F
Bench (9)
15 E. Skhiri
17 E. Wahi
27 M. Götze
30 M. Batshuayi
21 N. Brown
40 Kauã Santos
18 Mahmoud Dahoud
29 N. Nkounkou
5 A. Amenda

Coach: D. Toppmöller

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,30
U
6,33
B
8,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,33
U2,5
3,30
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.