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Serie A
Referee: A Colombo
Cagliari
S T T S U
0–1
Full-time
Juventus
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 34%
24%
44%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
48%
48%
Both score Ø 52%
52%
52%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,35 xG 2,13
39% Possession 61%
8 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cagliari 15. · Juventus 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 26 17 6 3 +35 +26.9 57
2 Napoli 26 17 5 4 +21 +15.3 56
3 Atalanta 26 16 6 4 +33 +20.2 54
4 Lazio 26 14 5 7 +13 +12.3 47
5 Juventus 25 11 13 1 +21 +11.6 46
6 Fiorentina 26 12 6 8 +13 +6.1 42
7 Milan 25 11 8 6 +11 +17.5 41
8 Bologna 25 10 11 4 +7 +7.4 41
9 Roma 25 10 7 8 +7 +5.8 37
10 Udinese 26 10 6 10 -4 -9.6 36
11 Torino 26 7 10 9 -3 -12.3 31
12 Genoa 26 7 9 10 -10 -5.7 30
13 Como 26 7 7 12 -9 +0.9 28
14 Verona 26 8 2 16 -27 -14.6 26
15 Cagliari 25 6 7 12 -13 -7.5 25
16 Lecce 26 6 7 13 -24 -16.7 25
17 Parma 26 5 8 13 -13 -14.0 23
18 Empoli 26 4 9 13 -21 -13.7 21
19 Venezia 26 3 8 15 -19 -16.2 17
20 Monza 25 2 8 15 -18 -13.5 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cagliari Juventus
12′
D. Vlahović 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Zito Luvumbo 🔁
↦ M. Felici
46′
49′
🟨 Timothy Weah
F. Coman 🔁
↦ A. Deiola
57′
62′
🔁 Douglas Luiz
↦ T. Koopmeiners
62′
🔁 R. Kolo Muani
↦ Francisco Conceição
N. Viola 🔁
↦ M. Adopo
70′
R. Marin 🔁
↦ N. Zortea
70′
73′
🔁 K. Thuram
↦ M. Locatelli
73′
🔁 J. Rouhi
↦ A. Cambiaso
82′
🔁 S. Mbangula
↦ Douglas Luiz
L. Pavoletti 🔁
↦ A. Makoumbou
86′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cagliari

4-5-1
25 E. Caprile G
28 G. Zappa D
26 Y. Mina D
6 S. Luperto D
3 T. Augello D
19 N. Zortea M
8 M. Adopo M
29 A. Makoumbou M
14 A. Deiola M
97 M. Felici M
91 R. Piccoli F
Bench (12)
77 Zito Luvumbo
9 F. Coman
10 N. Viola
18 R. Marin
30 L. Pavoletti
22 H. Auseklis
24 J. Palomino
71 A. Sherri
33 A. Obert
70 G. Gaetano
16 M. Prati
21 J. Jankto

Coach: D. Nicola

Juventus

4-2-3-1
29 M. Di Gregorio G
22 T. Weah D
4 F. Gatti D
6 L. Kelly D
27 A. Cambiaso D
8 T. Koopmeiners M
5 M. Locatelli M
7 Francisco Conceição M
16 W. McKennie M
10 K. Yıldız M
9 D. Vlahović F
Bench (9)
26 Douglas Luiz
20 R. Kolo Muani
19 K. Thuram
40 J. Rouhi
51 S. Mbangula
1 M. Perin
2 Alberto Costa
11 N. González
23 C. Pinsoglio

Coach: T. Motta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,00
U
3,51
B ✓
1,94
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Colombo · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.