Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Cagliari
Juventus
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | +35 | +26.9 | 57 |
| 2 |
Napoli
|
26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | +21 | +15.3 | 56 |
| 3 |
Atalanta
|
26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | +33 | +20.2 | 54 |
| 4 |
Lazio
|
26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | +13 | +12.3 | 47 |
| 5 |
Juventus
|
25 | 11 | 13 | 1 | +21 | +11.6 | 46 |
| 6 |
Fiorentina
|
26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | +13 | +6.1 | 42 |
| 7 |
Milan
|
25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | +11 | +17.5 | 41 |
| 8 |
Bologna
|
25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | +7 | +7.4 | 41 |
| 9 |
Roma
|
25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | +7 | +5.8 | 37 |
| 10 |
Udinese
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | -4 | -9.6 | 36 |
| 11 |
Torino
|
26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | -3 | -12.3 | 31 |
| 12 |
Genoa
|
26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -10 | -5.7 | 30 |
| 13 |
Como
|
26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | -9 | +0.9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Verona
|
26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | -27 | -14.6 | 26 |
| 15 |
Cagliari
|
25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -13 | -7.5 | 25 |
| 16 |
Lecce
|
26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -24 | -16.7 | 25 |
| 17 |
Parma
|
26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -13 | -14.0 | 23 |
| 18 |
Empoli
|
26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -21 | -13.7 | 21 |
| 19 |
Venezia
|
26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | -19 | -16.2 | 17 |
| 20 |
Monza
|
25 | 2 | 8 | 15 | -18 | -13.5 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
E. Caprile
G
G. Zappa
D
Y. Mina
D
S. Luperto
D
T. Augello
D
N. Zortea
M
M. Adopo
M
A. Makoumbou
M
A. Deiola
M
M. Felici
M
R. Piccoli
F
Coach: D. Nicola
M. Di Gregorio
G
T. Weah
D
F. Gatti
D
L. Kelly
D
A. Cambiaso
D
T. Koopmeiners
M
M. Locatelli
M
Francisco Conceição
M
W. McKennie
M
K. Yıldız
M
D. Vlahović
F
Coach: T. Motta
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Atalanta
Cagliari
Cagliari
Parma
Cagliari
Lazio
Torino
Cagliari
Cagliari
Lecce
A Colombo · 84 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.