Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lyon
Paris SG
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 | +39 | +37.5 | 56 |
| 2 |
Marseille
|
23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | +21 | +12.5 | 46 |
| 3 |
Nice
|
23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | +19 | +14.5 | 43 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | +15 | +8.6 | 41 |
| 5 |
Monaco
|
23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | +14 | +24.3 | 40 |
| 6 |
Lyon
|
22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | +13 | +6.7 | 36 |
| 7 |
Strasbourg
|
23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | +5 | -4.9 | 34 |
| 8 |
Lens
|
23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | +1 | +4.4 | 33 |
| 9 |
Brest
|
23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | -3 | -9.6 | 33 |
| 10 |
Toulouse
|
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | +1 | +8.4 | 30 |
| 11 |
Auxerre
|
23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -3 | -11.4 | 28 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | -8 | -6.4 | 27 |
| 13 |
Rennes
|
23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | -2 | +1.8 | 26 |
| 14 |
Nantes
|
23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | -12 | -9.1 | 24 |
| 15 |
Reims
|
23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -9 | -13.3 | 22 |
| 16 |
St Etienne
|
23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -30 | -29.4 | 19 |
| 17 |
Le Havre
|
23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | -28 | -16.8 | 17 |
| 18 |
Montpellier
|
23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | -33 | -17.9 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Lucas Perri
G
S. Kumbedi
D
Clinton Mata
D
M. Niakhaté
D
N. Tagliafico
D
N. Matić
M
T. Tessmann
M
C. Tolisso
M
E. Nuamah
F
R. Cherki
F
M. Fofana
F
Coach: Paulo Fonseca
G. Donnarumma
G
A. Hakimi
D
Marquinhos
D
Beraldo
D
Nuno Mendes
D
D. Doué
M
Vitinha
M
João Neves
M
K. Kvaratskhelia
F
O. Dembélé
F
B. Barcola
F
Coach: Luis Enrique
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Montpellier
Lyon
Lyon
Reims
Marseille
Lyon
Lyon
Ludogorets
Nantes
Lyon
E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.