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Eredivisie

Referee: J Kooij

Ajax

S S S S T

2–0

Full-time

Go Ahead Eagles

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Go Ahead Eagles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,7

Scored

2,2

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 61%

77%

45%

Points per game

2,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

59%

68%

Both score Ø 53%

50%

55%

Average goals

3,0

3,4

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,90 xG 0,23

49% Possession 51%

21 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ajax 1. · Go Ahead Eagles 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ajax	22	17	3	2	+31	+21.7	54
2	PSV Eindhoven	23	16	4	3	+45	+30.3	52
3	Feyenoord	23	12	7	4	+21	+18.6	43
4	Utrecht	23	12	7	4	+6	+0.2	43
5	Twente	21	11	6	4	+17	+16.4	39
6	Go Ahead Eagles	22	10	5	7	+6	+9.3	35
7	AZ Alkmaar	20	10	4	6	+8	+9.9	34
8	Heerenveen	22	7	6	9	-7	-0.6	27
9	Groningen	23	7	6	10	-10	-8.9	27
10	NAC Breda	23	8	3	12	-15	-13.0	27
11	For Sittard	22	7	5	10	-11	-5.6	26
12	Nijmegen	22	7	4	11	+2	+4.0	25
13	Zwolle	23	6	7	10	-8	-17.8	25
14	Willem II	23	6	6	11	-8	-18.4	24
15	Heracles	23	5	9	9	-15	-14.4	24
16	Sparta Rotterdam	23	4	8	11	-14	-2.6	20
17	Waalwijk	23	4	5	14	-16	-13.0	17
18	Almere City	23	3	5	15	-32	-16.0	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ajax	11	10	1	0	+21	+15.9	31
2	PSV Eindhoven	12	9	3	0	+30	+18.1	30
3	Twente	10	7	3	0	+17	+13.9	24
4	Go Ahead Eagles	12	7	3	2	+10	+11.6	24
5	Feyenoord	11	7	2	2	+11	+13.1	23
6	Heerenveen	11	5	5	1	+7	+5.3	20
7	NAC Breda	12	6	2	4	+1	-0.7	20
8	Groningen	11	5	4	2	+6	+1.9	19
9	Zwolle	12	5	2	5	+1	-5.5	17
10	Utrecht	11	5	2	4	-4	+3.7	17
11	Nijmegen	12	4	4	4	+9	+8.2	16
12	Heracles	12	3	7	2	+2	+0.2	16
13	For Sittard	11	5	0	6	-5	+0.1	15
14	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	1	4	+1	+6.5	13
15	Willem II	12	3	3	6	-1	-6.9	12
16	Waalwijk	11	3	2	6	-2	-3.5	11
17	Sparta Rotterdam	11	1	5	5	-8	+0.7	8
18	Almere City	11	2	1	8	-19	-4.3	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Utrecht	12	7	5	0	+10	-3.5	26
2	Ajax	11	7	2	2	+10	+5.7	23
3	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	1	3	+15	+12.1	22
4	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	3	2	+7	+3.3	21
5	Feyenoord	12	5	5	2	+10	+5.4	20
6	Twente	11	4	3	4	+0	+2.5	15
7	Sparta Rotterdam	12	3	3	6	-6	-3.3	12
8	Willem II	11	3	3	5	-7	-11.5	12
9	Go Ahead Eagles	10	3	2	5	-4	-2.2	11
10	For Sittard	11	2	5	4	-6	-5.7	11
11	Nijmegen	10	3	0	7	-7	-4.2	9
12	Zwolle	11	1	5	5	-9	-12.3	8
13	Groningen	12	2	2	8	-16	-10.8	8
14	Heracles	11	2	2	7	-17	-14.6	8
15	Almere City	12	1	4	7	-13	-11.7	7
16	Heerenveen	11	2	1	8	-14	-5.8	7
17	NAC Breda	11	2	1	8	-16	-12.3	7
18	Waalwijk	12	1	3	8	-14	-9.5	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.