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Premier League
Referee: D Coote
Brentford
T U U U S
2–2
Full-time
Tottenham
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Premier League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 44%
27%
60%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 64%
60%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,1
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
9 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brentford 10. · Tottenham 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Arsenal 14 12 1 1 +22 37
2 Man City 14 10 2 2 +26 32
3 Newcastle 15 8 6 1 +18 30
4 Tottenham 15 9 2 4 +10 29
5 Man United 14 8 2 4 +0 26
6 Liverpool 14 6 4 4 +11 22
7 Brighton 14 6 3 5 +4 21
8 Chelsea 14 6 3 5 +0 21
9 Fulham 15 5 4 6 -2 19
10 Brentford 15 4 7 4 -2 19
11 Crystal Palace 14 5 4 5 -3 19
12 Aston Villa 15 5 3 7 -6 18
13 Leicester 15 5 2 8 +0 17
14 Bournemouth 15 4 4 7 -14 16
15 Leeds 14 4 3 7 -4 15
16 West Ham 15 4 2 9 -5 14
17 Everton 15 3 5 7 -6 14
18 Nott'm Forest 15 3 4 8 -19 13
19 Southampton 15 3 3 9 -14 12
20 Wolves 15 2 4 9 -16 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brentford Tottenham
1–0 V. Janelt
15′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 I. Toney
C. Nørgaard
54′
Mathias Jensen 🟨
59′
60′
🟨 Yves Bissouma
Ivan Toney 🟨
63′
65′
H. Kane 2–1
C. Lenglet
S. Ghoddos 🔁
↦ M. Jensen
67′
67′
🔁 D. Sánchez
↦ J. Tanganga
71′
P. Højbjerg 2–2
Bryan Mbeumo 🟨
76′
J. Dasilva 🔁
↦ C. Nørgaard
82′
Y. Wissa 🔁
↦ B. Mbeumo
82′
95′
🔁 B. Davies
↦ C. Lenglet
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Brentford

3-5-2
1 David Raya G
13 M. Jørgensen D
5 E. Pinnock D
16 B. Mee D
30 M. Rasmussen M
8 M. Jensen M
6 C. Nørgaard M
27 V. Janelt M
3 R. Henry M
19 B. Mbeumo F
17 I. Toney F
Bench (9)
14 S. Ghoddos
10 J. Dasilva
11 Y. Wissa
34 M. Cox
4 C. Goode
7 Sergi Canós
18 P. Jansson
23 K. Lewis-Potter
24 M. Damsgaard

Coach: T. Frank

Tottenham

3-4-3
20 F. Forster G
25 J. Tanganga D
15 E. Dier D
34 C. Lenglet D
2 M. Doherty M
38 Y. Bissouma M
5 P. Højbjerg M
14 I. Perišić M
21 D. Kulusevski F
10 H. Kane F
7 Son Heung-Min F
Bench (9)
6 D. Sánchez
33 B. Davies
12 Emerson
11 Bryan Gil
1 H. Lloris
29 P. Sarr
4 O. Skipp
42 H. White
19 R. Sessegnon

Coach: A. Conte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,85
U ✓
3,74
B
1,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,80
U2,5
2,01
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Coote · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.