Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bochum
Hertha
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | +36 | -0.1 | 35 |
| 2 |
Freiburg
|
15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +8 | – | 30 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +9 | +0.1 | 29 |
| 4 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +8 | – | 27 |
| 5 |
Union Berlin
|
15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +4 | – | 27 |
| 6 |
Dortmund
|
15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | +4 | – | 25 |
| 7 |
Wolfsburg
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | +4 | – | 23 |
| 8 |
M'gladbach
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | +4 | – | 22 |
| 9 |
Werder Bremen
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | -2 | – | 21 |
| 10 |
Mainz
|
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -5 | – | 19 |
| 11 |
Hoffenheim
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | +0 | – | 18 |
| 12 |
Leverkusen
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -1 | – | 18 |
| 13 |
FC Koln
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -8 | – | 17 |
| 14 |
Augsburg
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -8 | – | 15 |
| 15 |
Hertha
|
15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -3 | – | 14 |
| 16 |
Stuttgart
|
15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -9 | – | 14 |
| 17 |
Bochum
|
15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -22 | – | 13 |
| 18 |
Schalke 04
|
15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -19 | – | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
S. Janko
D
K. Schlotterbeck
D
Danilo Soares
D
K. Stöger
M
P. Hofmann
F
Coach: T. Letsch
O. Christensen
G
J. Kenny
D
M. Kempf
D
M. Mittelstädt
D
L. Tousart
M
M. Richter
M
D. Scherhant
M
Coach: S. Schwarz
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Augsburg
Bochum
Bochum
M'gladbach
Dortmund
Bochum
Wolfsburg
Bochum
Bochum
Union Berlin
M Petersen · 103 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.