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Bundesliga
Referee: S Gishamer
Ried
U T T S U
2–3
Full-time
Tirol
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ried Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 27%
31%
23%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
58%
58%
Both score Ø 60%
69%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%
21 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ried 6. · Tirol 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 26 21 4 1 +48 67
2 Sturm Graz 26 13 7 6 +18 46
3 Austria Vienna 26 9 11 6 +8 38
4 SK Rapid 26 10 8 8 +6 38
5 Wolfsberger AC 26 11 4 11 -5 37
6 Ried 26 8 9 9 -11 33
7 A. Klagenfurt 26 7 10 9 -12 31
8 LASK 26 7 9 10 +3 30
9 Tirol 26 6 9 11 -20 27
10 Admira 26 5 11 10 -4 26
11 Hartberg 26 5 10 11 -7 25
12 Altach 26 5 6 15 -24 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ried Tirol
18′
🟨 Renny Smith
20′
Ž. Rogelj 0–1
S. Ogrinec
1–1 M. Şatin
L. Mikić
36′
Half-time 1–1
D. Offenbacher 🔁
↦ N. Stošić
46′
54′
🟨 Sandi Ogrinec
M. Lackner 🔁
↦ T. Plavotić
58′
61′
🔁 A. Ranacher
↦ Ž. Rogelj
61′
🔁 S. Skrbo
↦ T. Prica
64′
🟨 Raffael Behounek
66′
🟨 Giacomo Vrioni
68′
🟨 Bror Blume Jensen
2–1 A. Bajic
L. Meisl
69′
77′
🔁 T. Sabitzer
↦ S. Ogrinec
77′
🔁 J. Ertlthaler
↦ R. Smith
F. Seiwald 🔁
↦ L. Mikić
80′
82′
G. Vrioni 2–2
S. Skrbo
Markus Lackner 🟨
85′
S. Chabbi 🔁
↦ M. Şatin
87′
91′
🟨 Dominik Stumberger
93′
G. Vrioni 2–3
T. Sabitzer
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Ried

4-2-3-1
1 S. Şahin-Radlinger G
24 T. Plavotić D
2 L. Meisl D
23 J. Weberbauer D
4 M. Ziegl M
12 A. Bajic M
20 M. Şatin M
17 P. Pomer D
37 N. Stošić M
45 N. Dorgeles F
21 L. Mikić M
Bench (7)
11 D. Offenbacher
16 M. Lackner
25 F. Seiwald
9 S. Chabbi
7 M. Canadi
18 R. Ungerath
32 C. Haas

Coach: R. Ibertsberger

Tirol

4-4-1-1
25 F. Oswald G
24 F. Koch D
44 K. Schulz D
30 R. Behounek D
26 D. Štumberger D
10 B. Blume M
8 R. Smith M
98 S. Ogrinec F
21 Ž. Rogelj M
9 G. Vrioni F
33 T. Prica M
Bench (7)
14 A. Ranacher
23 S. Skrbo
7 T. Sabitzer
77 J. Ertlthaler
13 B. Ozegovic
4 V. Müller
5 F. Bacher

Coach: T. Silberberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Gishamer · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.