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Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia

U T T S U

1–2

Full-time

Pogon Szczecin

S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Pogon Szczecin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 43%

29%

57%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

57%

46%

Both score Ø 61%

64%

57%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,9

Conceded

1,5

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jagiellonia 12. · Pogon Szczecin 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	29	17	8	4	+26	59
2	Lech Poznan	28	16	8	4	+34	56
3	Pogon Szczecin	28	16	8	4	+30	56
4	Lechia Gdansk	28	13	7	8	+11	46
5	Radomiak Radom	29	10	13	6	+6	43
6	Wisla Plock	28	13	3	12	+1	42
7	Piast Gliwice	28	11	8	9	+5	41
8	Gornik Zabrze	28	10	7	11	-1	37
9	Legia	28	11	3	14	-3	36
10	Warta Poznan	29	9	9	11	-3	36
11	Cracovia	28	9	8	11	-4	35
12	Jagiellonia	28	8	10	10	-10	34
13	Stal Mielec	29	8	9	12	-8	33
14	Slask Wroclaw	28	7	10	11	-5	31
15	Zaglebie	28	9	4	15	-18	31
16	Wisla	28	7	7	14	-13	28
17	Leczna	29	6	9	14	-24	27
18	Nieciecza	29	5	9	15	-24	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	14	10	3	1	+27	33
2	Lechia Gdansk	14	10	3	1	+16	33
3	Pogon Szczecin	14	10	2	2	+21	32
4	Wisla Plock	14	10	2	2	+14	32
5	Rakow	14	8	5	1	+18	29
6	Radomiak Radom	14	6	7	1	+8	25
7	Legia	14	8	0	6	+4	24
8	Gornik Zabrze	14	6	4	4	+5	22
9	Jagiellonia	14	5	6	3	+4	21
10	Piast Gliwice	14	6	3	5	+1	21
11	Stal Mielec	15	6	3	6	-1	21
12	Zaglebie	14	6	2	6	-2	20
13	Wisla	14	5	4	5	+2	19
14	Cracovia	14	5	4	5	+1	19
15	Warta Poznan	15	4	6	5	-4	18
16	Nieciecza	15	4	5	6	-7	17
17	Leczna	15	4	5	6	-11	17
18	Slask Wroclaw	13	3	6	4	-2	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	15	9	3	3	+8	30
2	Pogon Szczecin	14	6	6	2	+9	24
3	Lech Poznan	14	6	5	3	+7	23
4	Piast Gliwice	14	5	5	4	+4	20
5	Warta Poznan	14	5	3	6	+1	18
6	Radomiak Radom	15	4	6	5	-2	18
7	Slask Wroclaw	15	4	4	7	-3	16
8	Cracovia	14	4	4	6	-5	16
9	Gornik Zabrze	14	4	3	7	-6	15
10	Lechia Gdansk	14	3	4	7	-5	13
11	Jagiellonia	14	3	4	7	-14	13
12	Stal Mielec	14	2	6	6	-7	12
13	Legia	14	3	3	8	-7	12
14	Zaglebie	14	3	2	9	-16	11
15	Wisla Plock	14	3	1	10	-13	10
16	Leczna	14	2	4	8	-13	10
17	Wisla	14	2	3	9	-15	9
18	Nieciecza	14	1	4	9	-17	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.