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Premier League
Referee: S Hooper
Watford
T T S T T
1–2
Full-time
Brentford
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Brentford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,0
This season — Premier League · 31/32 matches
Win Ø 25%
19%
31%
Points per game
0,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
52%
53%
Both score Ø 49%
45%
53%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
17 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Watford 19. · Brentford 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 31 23 5 3 +52 74
2 Liverpool 31 22 7 2 +57 73
3 Chelsea 30 18 8 4 +41 62
4 Tottenham 32 18 3 11 +18 57
5 Arsenal 30 17 3 10 +9 54
6 West Ham 32 15 6 11 +9 51
7 Man United 31 14 9 8 +7 51
8 Wolves 32 15 4 13 +5 49
9 Leicester 29 11 7 11 -3 40
10 Brighton 32 9 13 10 -8 40
11 Crystal Palace 31 8 13 10 +3 37
12 Aston Villa 31 11 3 17 -4 36
13 Brentford 32 10 6 16 -9 36
14 Southampton 31 8 12 11 -15 36
15 Newcastle 31 8 10 13 -20 34
16 Leeds 32 8 9 15 -30 33
17 Everton 30 8 4 18 -19 28
18 Burnley 30 4 12 14 -19 24
19 Watford 31 6 4 21 -31 22
20 Norwich 31 5 6 20 -43 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Watford Brentford
15′
C. Nørgaard 0–1
K. Ajer
21′
🔁 M. Sørensen
↦ E. Pinnock
Half-time 0–1
Hassane Kamara 🟨
53′
1–1 E. Dennis
I. Sarr
55′
Emmanuel Dennis ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
57′
62′
🟨 Ivan Toney
66′
🔁 S. Ghoddos
↦ Y. Wissa
74′
🔁 M. Jensen
↦ V. Janelt
T. Cleverley 🔁
↦ J. Kucka
84′
J. King 🔁
↦ João Pedro
84′
Imrân Louza 🟨
87′
C. Cathcart 🔁
↦ Kiko Femenía
87′
95′
P. Jansson 1–2
C. Eriksen
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Watford

4-3-3
1 B. Foster G
27 C. Kabasele D
21 Kiko Femenía D
14 H. Kamara D
22 Samir D
19 M. Sissoko M
33 J. Kucka M
6 I. Louza M
25 E. Dennis F
23 I. Sarr F
10 João Pedro F
Bench (9)
8 T. Cleverley
7 J. King
15 C. Cathcart
47 S. Forde
39 E. Kayembe
26 D. Bachmann
4 O. Etebo
16 D. Gosling
2 J. Ngakia

Coach: R. Hodgson

Brentford

4-3-3
1 David Raya G
18 P. Jansson D
20 K. Ajer D
3 R. Henry D
5 E. Pinnock D
21 C. Eriksen M
6 C. Nørgaard M
27 V. Janelt M
17 I. Toney F
11 Y. Wissa F
19 B. Mbeumo F
Bench (9)
29 M. Sørensen
14 S. Ghoddos
8 M. Jensen
24 T. Fosu
36 F. Stevens
30 M. Rasmussen
26 S. Baptiste
10 J. Dasilva
40 Álvaro Fernández

Coach: T. Frank

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,86
U
3,28
B ✓
2,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Hooper · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.