Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Farense
Gil Vicente
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sp Lisbon
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | +22 | 35 |
| 2 |
Porto
|
13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | +19 | 31 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | +15 | 31 |
| 4 |
Sp Braga
|
13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |
Guimaraes
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 6 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 19 |
| 7 |
Santa Clara
|
13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 |
Maritimo
|
13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 |
Rio Ave
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 11 |
Gil Vicente
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 |
Nacional
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |
Belenenses
|
12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 |
Tondela
|
13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 |
Boavista
|
13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 |
Portimonense
|
13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 |
Famalicao
|
13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -10 | 11 |
| 18 |
Farense
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Coach: Sérgio Vieira
Rúben Fernandes
D
Joel Pereira
D
Vitor Carvalho
M
K. Fujimoto
F
Coach: Rui Almeida
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Portimonense
Farense
Farense
Pacos Ferreira
Sp Lisbon
Farense
Farense
Maritimo
Sp Braga
Farense
Hugo Miguel · 125 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.