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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hugo Miguel
Farense
T S T U T
3–1
Full-time
Gil Vicente
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Farense Gil Vicente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 21%
17%
25%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
33%
25%
Both score Ø 46%
50%
42%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

33% Possession 67%
10 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 6
4 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Farense 18. · Gil Vicente 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 13 11 2 0 +22 35
2 Porto 13 10 1 2 +19 31
3 Benfica 13 10 1 2 +15 31
4 Sp Braga 13 9 0 4 +10 27
5 Guimaraes 12 6 2 4 +3 20
6 Pacos Ferreira 12 5 4 3 +3 19
7 Santa Clara 13 4 3 6 -4 15
8 Maritimo 13 4 2 7 -3 14
9 Moreirense 13 3 5 5 -5 14
10 Rio Ave 13 3 5 5 -6 14
11 Gil Vicente 12 3 4 5 -3 13
12 Nacional 12 3 4 5 -4 13
13 Belenenses 12 2 6 4 -3 12
14 Tondela 13 3 3 7 -12 12
15 Boavista 13 1 8 4 -8 11
16 Portimonense 13 3 2 8 -8 11
17 Famalicao 13 2 5 6 -10 11
18 Farense 12 2 3 7 -6 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Farense Gil Vicente
1–0 N. Stojiljković
A. Oudrhiri
10′
2–0 Licá
Hugo Seco
15′
29′
Lourency 2–1
Rodrigão
Madi Queta 🔁
↦ Hugo Seco
38′
Half-time 2–1
Licá 🟥
63′
64′
🔁 Y. Baraye
↦ Vitor Carvalho
68′
🟨 Claude Gonçalves
Patrick 🔁
↦ N. Stojiljković
71′
73′
🔁 Alaa Abbas
↦ K. Fujimoto
Fábio Nunes 🟨
75′
B. Mansilla 🔁
↦ R. Gauld
82′
3–1 Fabrício Isidoro
84′
85′
🔁 Leandrinho
↦ Lucas Mineiro
85′
🔁 Boubacar Hanne
↦ Talocha
89′
🟨 Ruben Fernandes
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Farense

4-2-3-1
12 Rafael Defendi G
41 Cássio Scheid D
78 Alex Pinto D
5 A. Oudrhiri M
23 R. Gauld M
14 Fabrício Isidoro M
13 Bura D
88 Licá M
9 N. Stojiljković F
92 Fábio Nunes D
7 Hugo Seco M
Bench (8)
10 Madi Queta
19 Patrick
11 B. Mansilla
33 Ricardo Velho
6 Filipe Melo
1 Hugo Marques
30 Abner Felipe
17 Miguel Bandarra

Coach: Sérgio Vieira

Gil Vicente

4-3-3
1 Denis G
26 Rúben Fernandes D
31 Talocha D
5 Rodrigão D
2 Joel Pereira D
8 Claude Gonçalves M
25 Lucas Mineiro M
21 Vitor Carvalho M
20 K. Fujimoto F
7 Lourency F
29 Samuel Lino F
Bench (9)
22 Y. Baraye
10 Alaa Abbas
27 Leandrinho
17 Boubacar Hanne
16 J. Ruiz
55 Henrique Gomes
12 Brian Araújo
97 Guilherme Mantuan
99 A. Isaiah

Coach: Rui Almeida

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,62
U
2,93
B
2,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,39
U2,5
1,56
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Hugo Miguel · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.