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Serie A
Referee: D Massa
Juventus
U S T S S
3–1
Full-time
Sassuolo
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 52%
53%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
60%
56%
Both score Ø 68%
73%
63%
Average goals
3,1
3,3
Scored
2,1
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
20 Shots 10
10 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 4
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Juventus 6. · Sassuolo 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 17 12 4 1 +18 40
2 Inter 17 11 4 2 +20 37
3 Roma 17 10 4 3 +11 34
4 Atalanta 16 9 4 3 +18 31
5 Napoli 16 10 1 5 +18 31
6 Juventus 15 8 6 1 +17 30
7 Sassuolo 16 8 5 3 +6 29
8 Lazio 17 8 4 5 +2 28
9 Verona 17 7 6 4 +6 27
10 Benevento 17 6 3 8 -10 21
11 Sampdoria 16 6 2 8 -1 20
12 Fiorentina 17 4 6 7 -5 18
13 Bologna 17 4 5 8 -8 17
14 Udinese 16 4 4 8 -7 16
15 Spezia 16 3 5 8 -10 14
16 Cagliari 17 3 5 9 -11 14
17 Genoa 17 3 5 9 -12 14
18 Torino 17 2 6 9 -9 12
19 Parma 17 2 6 9 -20 12
20 Crotone 17 2 3 12 -23 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,30
U
5,67
B
9,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,45
U2,5
2,72
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.