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Eredivisie

Referee: J Kamphuis

VVV Venlo

U T T T T

2–1

Full-time

Willem II

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,8

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

2,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 14%

14%

Points per game

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

86%

64%

Both score Ø 68%

79%

57%

Average goals

4,4

3,3

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

3,0

2,1

Goal diff per game

-1,6

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%

12 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 1

1 Offside 4

18 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match VVV Venlo 17. · Willem II 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	14	11	1	2	+42	34
2	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	3	1	+22	33
3	Vitesse	15	10	2	3	+14	32
4	Feyenoord	13	9	3	1	+19	30
5	AZ Alkmaar	15	7	7	1	+13	28
6	Twente	15	8	3	4	+11	27
7	Groningen	14	8	2	4	+3	26
8	Heerenveen	14	5	5	4	+1	20
9	Sparta Rotterdam	14	5	2	7	-1	17
10	Zwolle	15	3	8	4	-6	17
11	Utrecht	13	3	7	3	-3	16
12	Heracles	15	4	3	8	-11	15
13	For Sittard	14	3	4	7	-12	13
14	Waalwijk	15	3	3	9	-14	12
15	Den Haag	15	2	4	9	-21	10
16	Willem II	14	2	3	9	-14	9
17	VVV Venlo	14	2	3	9	-22	9
18	FC Emmen	15	0	5	10	-21	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Vitesse	7	6	1	0	+11	19
3	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+19	18
4	AZ Alkmaar	7	4	2	1	+7	14
5	Groningen	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Feyenoord	5	3	2	0	+7	11
7	Twente	8	3	2	3	+2	11
8	Heerenveen	6	3	1	2	+3	10
9	Utrecht	7	2	4	1	+0	10
10	Zwolle	8	2	4	2	+0	10
11	Sparta Rotterdam	8	2	2	4	+0	8
12	For Sittard	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	Heracles	7	2	1	4	+0	7
14	Willem II	7	2	1	4	-5	7
15	Waalwijk	8	1	3	4	-6	6
16	VVV Venlo	7	1	2	4	-17	5
17	FC Emmen	8	0	3	5	-12	3
18	Den Haag	7	0	2	5	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Ajax	7	5	1	1	+23	16
3	Twente	7	5	1	1	+9	16
4	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	5	0	+6	14
5	Vitesse	8	4	1	3	+3	13
6	PSV Eindhoven	7	3	3	1	+7	12
7	Groningen	6	4	0	2	+1	12
8	Heerenveen	8	2	4	2	-2	10
9	Sparta Rotterdam	6	3	0	3	-1	9
10	Heracles	8	2	2	4	-11	8
11	Den Haag	8	2	2	4	-12	8
12	Zwolle	7	1	4	2	-6	7
13	Utrecht	6	1	3	2	-3	6
14	Waalwijk	7	2	0	5	-8	6
15	For Sittard	7	1	2	4	-8	5
16	VVV Venlo	7	1	1	5	-5	4
17	Willem II	7	0	2	5	-9	2
18	FC Emmen	7	0	2	5	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.