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La Liga
Referee: José Sánchez
Cadiz
T T T U U
3–1
Full-time
Alaves
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 27%
29%
24%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
24%
35%
Both score Ø 41%
29%
53%
Average goals
1,9
2,1
Scored
0,7
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%
10 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 1
3 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cadiz 11. · Alaves 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 15 12 2 1 +23 38
2 Real Madrid 18 11 4 3 +15 37
3 Barcelona 18 10 4 4 +20 34
4 Villarreal 18 8 8 2 +9 32
5 Sociedad 19 8 6 5 +13 30
6 Sevilla 16 9 3 4 +8 30
7 Granada 17 7 3 7 -10 24
8 Celta 18 6 5 7 -6 23
9 Levante 17 5 6 6 -1 21
10 Ath Bilbao 18 6 3 9 -1 21
11 Cadiz 17 5 5 7 -9 20
12 Betis 17 6 2 9 -11 20
13 Eibar 18 4 7 7 -3 19
14 Alaves 17 4 6 7 -5 18
15 Valladolid 17 4 6 7 -8 18
16 Getafe 16 4 5 7 -5 17
17 Valencia 17 3 7 7 -2 16
18 Elche 15 3 7 5 -5 16
19 Osasuna 17 3 6 8 -10 15
20 Huesca 17 1 9 7 -12 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Alaves
1–0 Álex
15′
Álex Fernandez ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
16′
21′
ℹ️ Alberto Rodríguez
VAR: Goal cancelled
Fali 🟨
22′
23′
Joselu 1–1
40′
🟨 Tomás Pina
44′
🟨 Deyverson
45′
🟨 Alberto Rodríguez
Half-time 1–1
50′
🟨 Alberto Rodríguez
50′
🟥 Alberto Rodríguez
2–1 A. Lozano
A. Espino
56′
57′
🔁 Edgar Méndez
↦ Deyverson
57′
🔁 Manu García
↦ Jota Peleteiro
3–1 Álvaro Negredo
A. Lozano
68′
75′
🔁 Pere Pons
↦ Pina
75′
🔁 S. Keller
↦ R. Battaglia
Jon Garrido 🔁
↦ Fali Jiménez
82′
Álvaro Giménez 🔁
↦ A. Lozano
82′
82′
🔁 Borja Sainz
↦ Luis Rioja
F. Malbašić 🔁
↦ Álvaro Negredo
88′
B. Adekanye 🔁
↦ Álex
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 J. Ledesma G
16 Juan Cala D
19 Alcalá D
20 Isaac Carcelén D
3 Fali Jiménez M
22 A. Espino D
8 Álex M
2 J. Jønsson M
18 Álvaro Negredo F
9 A. Lozano F
10 Alberto Perea M
Bench (12)
5 Jon Garrido
21 Álvaro Giménez
24 F. Malbašić
32 B. Adekanye
13 David Gil
27 Marc Baró
28 S. Erimuya
12 Y. Bodiger
14 Alejo
25 Jairo Izquierdo
11 Jorge Pombo
15 Carlos Akapo

Coach: Álvaro

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Pacheco G
22 F. Lejeune D
3 Rubén Duarte D
2 Alberto Rodríguez D
21 Martín Aguirregabiria D
8 Pina M
24 Jota Peleteiro M
6 R. Battaglia M
9 Joselu F
14 Deyverson F
11 Luis Rioja M
Bench (10)
16 Edgar Méndez
19 Manu García
20 Pere Pons
39 S. Keller
29 Borja Sainz
13 Sivera
26 Javi López
10 J. Guidetti
17 Adrián Marín
37 Tomás Tavares

Coach: Pablo Machín

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,70
U
2,89
B
3,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,85
U2,5
1,41
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.