Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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FC Koln
Augsburg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | +30 | 47 |
| 2 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | +6 | 33 |
| 3 |
Leverkusen
|
19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | +12 | 31 |
| 4 |
Schalke 04
|
19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | +5 | 31 |
| 5 |
RB Leipzig
|
19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | +3 | 31 |
| 6 |
M'gladbach
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | -2 | 31 |
| 7 |
Dortmund
|
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | +15 | 30 |
| 8 |
Augsburg
|
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | +3 | 27 |
| 9 |
Hoffenheim
|
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | +2 | 27 |
| 10 |
Hannover
|
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | -1 | 27 |
| 11 |
Hertha
|
19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | +0 | 25 |
| 12 |
Freiburg
|
19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | -13 | 23 |
| 13 |
Wolfsburg
|
19 | 3 | 11 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 14 |
Stuttgart
|
19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 |
Mainz
|
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | -9 | 20 |
| 16 |
Werder Bremen
|
19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -9 | 16 |
| 17 |
Hamburg
|
19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -13 | 15 |
| 18 |
FC Koln
|
19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | -19 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
T. Horn
G
S. Özcan
M
Coach: S. Ruthenbeck
J. Gouweleeuw
D
M. Gregoritsch
M
R. Khedira
M
Coach: M. Baum
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hamburg
FC Koln
FC Koln
M'gladbach
FC Koln
Wolfsburg
Bayern Munich
FC Koln
FC Koln
Freiburg
Christian Dingert · 74 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.